Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:1
07/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - Semi-finals
Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
67
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
83%65%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (48/57)75% (43/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (7/12)32% (10/31)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
25% (14/57)18% (10/57)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (21/31)42% (5/12)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
80% (55/69)62% (53/86)
Return Points Won
38% (33/86)20% (14/69)
Total Points Won
57% (88/155)43% (67/155)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Cameron Norrie
49.9%
Lorenzo Sonego
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cameron Norrie's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sonego's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.62)

    1.94
    (2.23)
    4.4%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego?
    • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Sonego will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 38.8%75.4%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Sonego (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Norrie is ranked ATP: 27. Sonego is ranked ATP: 42.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego 2:1
    09.03.2024 Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego 2:0
    Latest results of Cameron Norrie
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Added D. (LL)Bye
    2Jacquet K. (LL)van Assche L. (Q)2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    4Royer V.Norrie C. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Bye
    6Choinski J. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    7Atmane T.Gaston H. (WC)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Rinderknech A. (6)2 : 0
    9Tabur C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    10Passaro F. (Q)Blockx A. (NG)1 : 2
    11Mpetshi Perricard G.Sachko V. (LL)0 : 2
    12ByeBublik A. (3)
    13Moutet C. (8)Vukic A.1 : 2
    14Berrettini M.Halys Q.2 : 0
    15Blanchet U. (WC)Tien L.0 : 2
    16ByeEchargui M. (LL)

    1/8-finals
    1Added D.Jacquet K.0 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (7)1 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Gaston H. (RET.)Altmaier D.1 : 1
    5Tabur C.Blockx A.2 : 1
    6Sachko V.Bublik A. (3)2 : 1
    7Vukic A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Tien L.Echargui M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Jacquet K.Norrie C. (7)1 : 2
    2Sonego L.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    3Tabur C.Sachko V.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Tien L.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Norrie C. (7)Sonego L.2 : 1
    2Sachko V.Tien L.0 : 2

    Final
    1Norrie C. (7)Tien L.1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
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