Cameron Norrie vs Andrey Rublev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Vienna Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev
Result
2:1
21/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals
Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
109
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
67%59%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (41/55)65% (37/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (20/27)49% (19/39)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
35% (20/57)25% (14/55)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (20/39)26% (7/27)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)50% (1/2)
Winners
2932
Unforced Errors
819
Net Points Won
79% (15/19)65% (13/20)
Service Points Won
74% (61/82)57% (54/94)
Return Points Won
43% (40/94)26% (21/82)
Total Points Won
57% (101/176)43% (75/176)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
64% (18/28)36% (10/28)

Chances of winning


Cameron Norrie
35.2%
Andrey Rublev
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.32)

    1.48
    (1.51)
    4.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev?
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Norrie (votes: 3 - 50%). Rublev (votes: 3 - 50%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH +3.5 Games - Norrie (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Norrie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rublev (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Norrie is ranked ATP: 33. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
    • In recent matches, Norrie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rublev has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rublev will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    29.09.2023 Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie 2:1
    14.03.2023 Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie 0:2
    05.09.2022 Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev 0:3
    Latest results of Cameron Norrie
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    2Machac T.Cobolli F.0 : 2
    3Cerundolo F.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    4Tabilo A.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Rodionov J. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ugo Carabelli C.Misolic F. (WC)0 : 2
    7Popyrin A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.Rublev A. (7)2 : 1
    9Medvedev D. (6)Borges N.2 : 1
    10Dzumhur D. (Q)Moutet C.0 : 2
    11Etcheverry T. M.Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 0
    12Medjedovic H. (LL)Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (5)Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    14Darderi L.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    15Kovacevic A. (Q)Arnaldi M. (Q)0 : 2
    16Fearnley J. (Q)Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4Berrettini M.Norrie C.2 : 1
    5Medvedev D. (6)Moutet C.0 : 2
    6Etcheverry T. M.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Arnaldi M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    3Moutet C.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    4Griekspoor T.Zverev A. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 0
    2Musetti L. (4)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1
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