Cajamarca vs Los Chankas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Los Chankas
Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
Cajamarca - Los Chankas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.30
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
81% (335/415)76% (241/316)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.940.01
Total shots
178
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2110
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
81% (335/415)76% (241/316)
Long passes
61% (40/66)31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
68% (95/139)49% (37/75)
Crosses
25% (2/8)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.39
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
1313
Tackles
83% (10/12)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
1919
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.012.94
Goals prevented
0.010.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Vega R. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Garro L. , Villamarin R. ,
  • 55', Quintero J. (Pen),
  • 56', Vega R. , Quintana A. ,
  • 56', Manzaneda J. , Quiroz A. ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Quintero J. ,
  • 64', Serra P. , Rugel L. ,
  • 64', Oncoy F. , Cantt J. ,
  • 68', Takeuchi O. , Bueno P. ,
  • 68', Rivero B. , Dioses D. ,
  • 69', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
  • 78', Vasquez A. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 78', Quintero J. , Aguirre J. ,
  • 79', Torres F. , Zamalloa F. ,
  • 90+4', Gonzales D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bueno P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
49.2%
Draw
27%
Los Chankas
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 27.4% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 27.8% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.
  • Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Chankas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Chankas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cajamarca - Los Chankas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.3)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    3.93
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Los Chankas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
    • Cajamarca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Los Chankas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury) Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Los Chankas were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Los Chankas - Cajamarca 2:1
    19.09.2024 Los Chankas - Cajamarca 1:1
    15.04.2024 Cajamarca - Los Chankas 2:0
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3FBC Melgar1456320:14621
    4Deportivo Garcilaso1356217:16121
    5AD Tarma1363417:17021
    6Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    7Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    8Cienciano1253418:15318
    9Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    10Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    11Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1341815:26-1113
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II122559:15-611
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca121389:18-96
    19Binacional00000:000

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