Los Chankas vs Cajamarca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Los Chankas - Cajamarca
Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Haro D. (Per)
Los Chankas - Cajamarca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.14
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (266/330)81% (337/414)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.50
Total shots
167
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
100
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
81% (266/330)81% (337/414)
Long passes
43% (22/51)61% (37/61)
Passes in final third
72% (77/107)68% (97/142)
Crosses
33% (5/15)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.56
Throw-ins
1125
Fouls
1513
Tackles
56% (10/18)60% (3/5)
Duels won
4931
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.501.05
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Velarde C. , Manzaneda J. (A),
  • 33', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. , Vasquez A. (A),
  • 45+1', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Vasquez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Torres F. ,
  • 56', Serra P. 🟨,
  • 60', Quintana A. 🟨,
  • 63', Palacios B. , Balanta G. ,
  • 64', Oncoy F. , Mejia C. ,
  • 64', Quintero J. 🟨,
  • 67', Mifflin L. , Palomino J. ,
  • 67', Velarde C. , Quiroz A. ,
  • 70', Quiroz A. 🟨,
  • 74', Camargo I. , Bueno P. ,
  • 74', Torres F. , Torres S. ,
  • 80', Ramirez E. , Ibarguen Y. ,
  • 80', Alvarez L. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 82', Balanta G. 🟨,
  • 85', Rugel L. 🟨,
  • 89', Vasquez A. , Verdun J. ,
  • 89', Manzaneda J. , Mogollon E. ,

Chances of winning


Los Chankas
52.6%
Draw
26.5%
Cajamarca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 22.3% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Los Chankas - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.67)
    3.51
    (4)
    4.42
    (4.5)
    7.2%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 50%). Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Los Chankas is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Cajamarca were as follows:
    19.09.2024 Los Chankas - Cajamarca 1:1
    15.04.2024 Cajamarca - Los Chankas 2:0
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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