Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
710
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
37
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1112
Throw-ins
2528
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ,
  • 40', Quintero J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Sosa B. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Ramirez E. ,
  • 56', Sen M. 🟨,
  • 57', Paico K. , Garcia L. ,
  • 57', Lecaros A. , Lucumi B. ,
  • 65', Gonzales S. , Escalante L. ,
  • 74', Serra P. , Lujan J. ,
  • 80', Marina J. , Portugal B. ,
  • 80', Carpio Ferro M. P. , Vega J. ,
  • 89', Ramirez E. , Infante M. ,
  • 90+4', Oncoy F. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 90+4', Vasquez A. , Balanta G. ,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
46.8%
Draw
27.7%
Comerciantes Unidos
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 23.9% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.1% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.
  • Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Unidos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.7)
    3.39
    (3.97)
    3.64
    (4.67)
    7.1%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cajamarca could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    15.08.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca 1:1
    08.03.2024 Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos 2:3
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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