Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Atlético Grau
Result
0:2
13/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
Cajamarca - Atlético Grau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.352.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (218/286)80% (247/309)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.352.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.47
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
76% (218/286)80% (247/309)
Long passes
51% (27/53)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
67% (54/81)59% (29/49)
Crosses
47% (7/15)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.48
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1611
Tackles
75% (9/12)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3845
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.470.12
Goals prevented
-0.530.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ruidiaz R. , Vilca R. (A),
  • 23', Rodas E. 🟨,
  • 29', Garro L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodas E. , Franco D. ,
  • 46', Solis A. , Rostaing J. ,
  • 47', Rosell Delgado J. A. 🟥,
  • 57', Vasquez A. , Villamarin R. ,
  • 68', Bandiera N. , Olivares C. ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Guarderas R. , Franco D. (A),
  • 72', Ramirez E. , Aguirre J. ,
  • 76', Olivares C. (Pen),
  • 77', Vilca R. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 77', Ruidiaz R. , Sandoval T. ,
  • 80', Garro L. , Balanta G. ,
  • 82', Romero F. 🟨,
  • 85', Olivares C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Balanta G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
38.9%
Draw
30.8%
Atlético Grau
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.5% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Grau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cajamarca - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.78)
    3.04
    (3.4)
    3.08
    (2.47)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cajamarca might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F. (Injury) Garro J. (Injury) de la Cruz P. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Atlético Grau were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 4:0
    27.04.2024 Cajamarca - Atlético Grau 3:2
    15.09.2023 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 4:2
    21.04.2023 Cajamarca - Atlético Grau 1:1
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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