Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima
Result
0:0
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Cajamarca - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.13
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
60% (124/205)85% (388/457)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.59
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
613
Passes
60% (124/205)85% (388/457)
Long passes
31% (19/61)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
52% (48/93)73% (98/135)
Crosses
50% (8/16)32% (11/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.51
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
136
Tackles
56% (5/9)100% (9/9)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
4428
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
0.590.19
Goals prevented
0.590.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 05:14, (Pen),
  • 14', Garro L. 🟨,
  • 22', Castillo E. , Ceppelini P. ,
  • 45+1', Campos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 64', Castillo J. , Archimbaud J. ,
  • 64', Cantero A. , Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 65', Rugel L. , Lujan J. ,
  • 72', Gaibor F. , D'Arrigo J. ,
  • 73', Vasquez A. 🟨,
  • 74', Vasquez A. , Villamarin R. ,
  • 74', Ramirez E. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 80', Cari P. , Succar M. ,
  • 81', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
  • 90', Garro L. , Balanta G. ,
  • 90+5', Trauco M. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Aguirre J. , Cabanillas M. ,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
15.8%
Draw
24.3%
Alianza Lima
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 25.6% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17% 24.9% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.81
    (5.25)
    3.86
    (3.6)
    1.55
    (1.62)
    7.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Lima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
    • Recent form of Cajamarca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima 0:1
    03.05.2024 Alianza Lima - Cajamarca 1:0
    05.08.2023 Alianza Lima - Cajamarca 1:0
    05.03.2023 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima 0:1
    28.08.2022 Cajamarca - Alianza Lima 1:1
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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