Result
0:0
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.43 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
31% | 69% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
60% (124/205) | 85% (388/457) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.43 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.19 | 0.59 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
60% (124/205) | 85% (388/457) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (19/61) | 56% (30/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (48/93) | 73% (98/135) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (8/16) | 32% (11/34) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.58 | 1.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 100% (9/9) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
44 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.59 | 0.19 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.59 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 05:14, (Pen),
- 14', Garro L. 🟨,
- 22', Castillo E. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 45+1', Campos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 64', Castillo J. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
- 64', Cantero A. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 65', Rugel L. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 72', Gaibor F. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 73', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 74', Vasquez A. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
- 74', Ramirez E. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 80', Cari P. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 81', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
- 90', Garro L. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 90+5', Trauco M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Aguirre J. ↓, Cabanillas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca 15.8% | Draw 24.3% | Alianza Lima 59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.81 ↑ (5.25) |
3.86 ↑ (3.6) |
1.55 ↓ (1.62) |
7.7% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Lima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
- Recent form of Cajamarca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Lima?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.10.2024
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
03.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.08.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.03.2023
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
28.08.2022
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
1:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |