Cajamarca vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma
Result
0:1
20/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Cori V. (Per)
Cajamarca - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.89
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (290/378)76% (260/343)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.73
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2512
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (3/3)
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
913
Passes
77% (290/378)76% (260/343)
Long passes
45% (25/55)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
63% (73/116)56% (59/105)
Crosses
18% (4/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.81
Fouls
139
Tackles
67% (12/18)84% (21/25)
Duels won
4353
Clearances Total
1733
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.730.86
Goals prevented
-0.380.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Rosell Delgado J. A. 🟨,
  • 22', Rugel L. 🟨,
  • 30', Barreto G. 🟨,
  • 31', Oncoy F. 🟨,
  • 37', Cabello C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Villamarin R. , Aguirre J. ,
  • 67', Palacios B. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 67', Rugel L. , Romero F. ,
  • 72', Da Luz M. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 72', Robles A. , Ascues C. ,
  • 78', Romero F. 🟨,
  • 81', Ramirez E. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 81', Oncoy F. , Verdun J. ,
  • 83', Vidales J. , Pinto O. ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Rengifo H. , Bersano F. (A),
  • 90+2', Rojas J. , Hidalgo A. ,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
32.4%
Draw
28.9%
ADT Tarma
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 28% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.
  • ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cajamarca - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.48)
    3.22
    (3.3)
    2.4
    (2.78)
    7.6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 2.
    • Recent matches Cajamarca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • ADT is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cajamarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in ADT: Ascues C. (Muscle Injury) Desio G. (Knee Injury) Fernandez A. (Injury) Fuentes P. (Injury) Moyano A. (Red Card) Narvaez J. (Red Card) Perez A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Montenegro D. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    20.08.2024 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 1:1
    16.03.2024 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 2:1
    28.08.2023 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 0:0
    08.04.2023 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 1:0
    08.01.2023 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 0:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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