ADT Tarma vs Cajamarca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca
Result
3:1
16/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
ADT Tarma - Cajamarca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.90
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
76% (207/273)84% (401/480)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.39
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
76% (207/273)84% (401/480)
Long passes
39% (28/72)55% (35/64)
Passes in final third
53% (45/85)63% (70/111)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.53
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1412
Tackles
82% (9/11)50% (3/6)
Duels won
3236
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.391.83
Goals prevented
-0.61-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Dulanto G. , Bersano F. (A),
  • 24', Quintero J. 🟨,
  • 26', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 36', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 39', Alvino J. , Gutierrez A. ,
  • 45+1', Melgarejo H. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ramirez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bazan N. , Barreto G. ,
  • 46', Alvarez L. , Oncoy F. ,
  • 53', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 56', Dulanto G. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Rojas J. , Da Luz M. (A),
  • 70', Ramirez E. , Balanta G. ,
  • 70', Vega J. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Da Luz M. , Barreto G. (A),
  • 83', Rojas J. , Montenegro D. ,
  • 83', Da Luz M. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 83', Serra P. , Rugel L. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Quintero J. , De la Cruz L. (A),
  • 90+1', Cabello C. , Pinto O. ,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
61.4%
Draw
22.8%
Cajamarca
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.4% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 16.4% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ADT Tarma - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.43)
    4.35
    (4.2)
    6.49
    (5.75)
    2.3%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, ADT is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aguirre J. (Red Card) Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Cajamarca were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 0:1
    20.08.2024 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 1:1
    16.03.2024 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 2:1
    28.08.2023 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 0:0
    08.04.2023 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 1:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1073018:81024
    2Cusco961213:8519
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1046014:8618
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5AD Tarma1051411:12-116
    6Alianza Lima943214:9515
    7FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    8Grau1042415:13214
    9Cienciano933314:12212
    10Sport Huancayo1133517:19-212
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas840412:20-812
    13Alianza Atl92436:4210
    14Juan Pablo II92438:10-210
    15Ayacucho103168:14-610
    16Alianza Huanuco1031611:18-710
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca90366:14-83
    19Binacional00000:000

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