Result
1:1
11/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 41 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (475/537) | 73% (183/252) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 80% (172/216) | 57% (25/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/33) | 11% (1/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 53% (9/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Felici M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 0, Morata A. ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 1, Zortea N. ⚽, Felici M. (A),
- 62', Musah Y. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 63', Calabria D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
- 65', Viola N. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
- 78', Palomino J. L. ↓, Wieteska M. ↑,
- 81', Felici M. ↓, Augello T. ↑,
- 81', Makoumbou A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 82', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 88', Leao R. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
- 90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milan
70.1% | Draw
18.9% | Cagliari
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Milan - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.43) |
5.08 ↑
(4.72) |
8.73 ↑
(7.2) |
4.2%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Milan - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
85 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 70 - 82.4%). Cagliari will win (votes: 7 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 74.3% – 90.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 4.
- Milan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Cagliari is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cagliari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S.
(Thigh Injury)
Emerson Royal
(Suspended)
Florenzi A.
(Knee Injury)
Okafor N.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Cagliari: Ciocci G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mutandwa K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Gabbia M.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J.
(Injury)
Luvumbo Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Mina Y.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Milan to win the game is with odds 1.39.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 46:16 (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:6 (average 2.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Cagliari?
Milan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Milan?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Cagliari were as follows:
09.11.2024
Cagliari
-
Milan
3:3
11.05.2024
Milan
-
Cagliari
5:1
02.01.2024
Milan
-
Cagliari
4:1
27.09.2023
Cagliari
-
Milan
1:3
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Milan - Cagliari?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sport 1 |
 Argentina | ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Italy | DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Football, ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
