Milan vs Cagliari: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Milan - Cagliari
Result
1:1
11/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
Milan - Cagliari - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.37
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
246
Shots on Goal
112
Shots off Goal
102
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
91
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
110
Free Kicks
119
Offsides
35
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1810
Touches in the Opposition Box
419
Passes
88% (475/537)73% (183/252)
Passes in the final third
80% (172/216)57% (25/44)
Crosses
9% (3/33)11% (1/9)
Tackles
69% (11/16)53% (9/17)
Clearances Total
1033
Interceptions
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Felici M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Morata A. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Zortea N. , Felici M. (A),
  • 62', Musah Y. , Abraham T. ,
  • 63', Calabria D. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 65', Viola N. , Deiola A. ,
  • 78', Palomino J. L. , Wieteska M. ,
  • 81', Felici M. , Augello T. ,
  • 81', Makoumbou A. , Marin R. ,
  • 82', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 88', Leao R. , Omoregbe B. ,
  • 90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Milan
70.1%
Draw
18.9%
Cagliari
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 20.2% 13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 19.6% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Milan - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.43)
    5.08
    (4.72)
    8.73
    (7.2)
    4.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Cagliari?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Milan will win! (70 of 85 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 4.
    • Milan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cagliari is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cagliari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (Thigh Injury) Emerson Royal (Suspended) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Okafor N. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Ciocci G. (Shoulder Injury) Mutandwa K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Gabbia M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J. (Injury) Luvumbo Z. (Ankle Injury) Mina Y. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Milan to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 46:16 (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:6 (average 2.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Cagliari were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Cagliari - Milan 3:3
    11.05.2024 Milan - Cagliari 5:1
    02.01.2024 Milan - Cagliari 4:1
    27.09.2023 Cagliari - Milan 1:3
    Latest results of Milan
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3
    03.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 1:2
    29.12.2024 Milan - Roma 1:1
    20.12.2024 Verona - Milan 0:1
    15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0
    Latest results of Cagliari
    05.01.2025 Monza - Cagliari 1:2
    28.12.2024 Cagliari - Inter Milan 0:3
    22.12.2024 Venezia - Cagliari 2:1
    17.12.2024 Juventus - Cagliari 4:0
    14.12.2024 Cagliari - Atalanta 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Milan - Cagliari?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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