Caernarfon Town vs Holywell Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Welsh League Cup Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town
Result
3:2 penalties
10/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Cup - 1/8-finals
Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Breese J. ,
  • 75', 0 - 2, Murtas F. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Lock J. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Gosset D. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Jones M. (Pen),
  • 1, Hewitt I. (Pen),
  • 2, Lock J. (Pen),
  • 2, Lindfield C. (Pen),
  • 3, Gosset D. (Pen),
  • 3, Sconce J. (Pen),
  • 4, Owen M. (Pen),
  • 4, ap Gareth I. (Pen),
  • 5, Ellis O. (Pen),
  • 5, Bibby T. (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
72.2%
Draw
16.3%
Holywell Town
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18.7% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 14.9% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.33)
    5.63
    (4.93)
    7.97
    (7.75)
    8.9%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Holywell Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Caernarfon is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Holywell Town
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1HolyheadBuckley0 : 4
    2ByeNewtown
    3GuilsfieldMold Alexandra3 : 0
    4ByeBala
    5LlandudnoBye
    6GresfordBrickfield3 : 0
    7RhylCaersws FC2 : 1
    8DenbighFlint Mountain3 : 1
    9RuthinPenrhyncoch1 : 0
    10ByeConnahs Q.
    11TNSBye
    12ByeAirbus
    13CaernarfonBye
    14ByeColwyn Bay
    15FlintBye
    16ByeHolywell
    17TreowenCambrian United2 : 3
    18Cardiff U21Ammanford1 : 0
    19Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    20PontypriddCwmbran Celtic1 : 0
    21Caerau ElyTrefelin3 : 4
    22ByePenybont
    23Briton FerryBye
    24ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    25HaverfordwestBye
    26Newport CityBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    27Llantwit MajorAfan Lido1 : 2
    28Swansea U21Carmarthen Town4 : 1
    29BarryBye
    30ByeAberystwyth
    31Ynyshir AlbionsCardiff Draconians4 : 1
    32ByeLlanelli

    1/16-finals
    1BuckleyNewtown2 : 3
    2GuilsfieldBala2 : 3
    3LlandudnoGresford7 : 0
    4RhylDenbigh2 : 3
    5RuthinConnahs Q.0 : 9
    6TNSAirbus7 : 1
    7CaernarfonColwyn Bay3 : 0
    8FlintHolywell1 : 2
    9Cambrian UnitedCardiff U212 : 0
    10Cardiff MetropolitanPontypridd4 : 0
    11TrefelinPenybont1 : 6
    12Briton FerryTrethomas Bluebirds3 : 0
    13HaverfordwestNewport City5 : 0
    14Afan LidoSwansea U210 : 5
    15BarryAberystwyth2 : 1
    16Ynyshir AlbionsLlanelli1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1NewtownBala2 : 1
    2LlandudnoDenbigh3 : 1
    3Connahs Q.TNS1 : 3
    4CaernarfonHolywell3 : 2
    5Cambrian UnitedCardiff Metropolitan2 : 1
    6PenybontBriton Ferry2 : 3
    7HaverfordwestSwansea U214 : 1
    8BarryLlanelli1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1NewtownLlandudno
    2TNSCaernarfon
    3Cambrian UnitedBriton Ferry
    4HaverfordwestBarry
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