Result
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Cymru Premier - Round 9
- Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)
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Chances of winning
Gap Connahs Quay
38.4% | Draw
25.6% | Caernarfon Town
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.47) |
3.6 ↑
(3.53) |
2.57 ↑
(2.45) |
8.3%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.
- Connahs Quay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caernarfon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:21. (average 2.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:13. (average 3.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caernarfon Town?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
03.12.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
28.09.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
3:1
17.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
3:2
15.03.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:1
02.02.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 17 |
| 2 | Caernarfon | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Penybont | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Bala | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Connahs Q | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Barry | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Flint | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 5 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:26 | -23 | 1 |
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