Result
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
61% | Draw
21.3% | Cardiff Metropolitan
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.54) |
4.32 ↑
(4.3) |
5.23 ↑
(4.96) |
8.5%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
- Caernarfon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cardiff Metropolitan has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Caernarfon is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Cardiff Metropolitan?
Caernarfon Town has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Metropolitan won against Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff Metropolitan has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
09.08.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
2:2
11.05.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
1:0
19.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Cardiff Metropolitan
2:1
08.03.2025
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
4:2
05.10.2024
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 20 |
| 2 | Caernarfon | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Penybont | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Bala | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 | Barry | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Connahs Q | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Flint | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 5 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5:27 | -22 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
