Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Welsh Cymru Premier Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan
Result
1:0 penalties
11/05/2025 at 12:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Cymru Premier - Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
117
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Roscrow A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Reynolds R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Downey S. , Lock J. ,
  • 66', Morris J. , Rees L. ,
  • 72', Craven C. , Barton D. ,
  • 83', Roscrow A. , Vincent T. ,
  • 84', Rees L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Barton D. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3bkj64aw

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
48%
Draw
25.4%
Cardiff Metropolitan
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 25.8% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 24.9% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Metropolitan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.17)
    3.64
    (3.57)
    3.47
    (2.89)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Cardiff Metropolitan is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
    • Caernarfon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cardiff Metropolitan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:24. (average 2.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:1
    08.03.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 4:2
    05.10.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town 1:2
    31.08.2024 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:2
    10.05.2024 Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:0
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Haverfordwest (3)Bye
    3Caernarfon (4)Barry (7)5 : 2
    4Cardiff Metropolitan (5)Bala (6)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Haverfordwest (3)Bye
    2Caernarfon (4)Cardiff Metropolitan (5)1 : 0

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (3)Caernarfon (4)3 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C
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