Málaga vs Cádiz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30
Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.26	0.68
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
6	6
Shots on Goal
1	2
Shots off Goal
5	4
Blocked Shots
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Shots inside the Box
2	4
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
Free Kicks
14	18
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
18	14
Yellow Cards
0	2
Throw-ins
18	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	18
Passes
80% (310/389)	77% (279/364)
Passes in the final third
56% (44/78)	56% (64/114)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	21% (4/19)
Tackles
54% (13/24)	74% (14/19)
Clearances Total
32	17
Interceptions
7	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Ocampo B. ↓, De la Rosa J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Cordero A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
61', Baturina R. ↓, Dioni ↑,
61', Ochoa A. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
64', Fernandez C. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
77', Juanpe ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
79', De la Rosa J. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
79', Ontiveros J. ↓, Matos Jose ↑,
80', Sobrino R. 🟨,
81', Zaldua J. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Melendo O. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
85', 0 - 2, Matos Jose ⚽, Melendo O. (A),
86', Larrubia D. ↓, Chupe ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/wv3xwack

Chances of winning

Málaga
32.1%

Draw
32.3%

Cádiz
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

33.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Málaga - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.83)	2.66 ↓ (2.91)	6.2% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Málaga - Cádiz?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury) Luismi (Yellow Cards) Molina M. (Injury) Monte N. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Yellow Cards) Fali (Red Card)
There are questionable in Málaga: Galilea E. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Mwepu F. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Cádiz?

Málaga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Málaga?

Cádiz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Cádiz were as follows:

12.10.2024 Cádiz - Málaga 2:2

Latest results of Málaga

01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Cartagena - Málaga 0:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Málaga - Levante 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

02.03.2025 Albacete Balompié - Cádiz 3:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Racing Santander - Cádiz 2:3 ✺

09.02.2025 Cádiz - Cartagena 5:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levante	42	22	13	7	69:42	27	79
2	Elche	42	22	11	9	59:34	25	77
3	R. Oviedo	42	21	12	9	56:42	14	75
4	Mirandes	42	22	9	11	59:40	19	75
5	Racing Santander	42	20	11	11	65:51	14	71
6	Almeria	42	19	12	11	72:55	17	69
7	Granada CF	42	18	11	13	65:54	11	65
8	Huesca	42	18	10	14	58:49	9	64
9	Eibar	42	15	13	14	44:41	3	58
10	Albacete	42	15	13	14	57:57	0	58
11	Gijon	42	14	14	14	57:54	3	56
12	Burgos CF	42	15	10	17	41:48	-7	55
13	Cadiz CF	42	14	13	15	55:53	2	55
14	Cordoba	42	14	13	15	59:63	-4	55
15	Dep. La Coruna	42	13	14	15	56:54	2	53
16	Malaga	42	12	17	13	42:46	-4	53
17	Castellon	42	14	11	17	65:63	2	53
18	Zaragoza	42	13	12	17	56:63	-7	51
19	Eldense	42	11	12	19	44:63	-19	45
20	Tenerife	42	8	12	22	35:55	-20	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol	42	6	12	24	22:64	-42	30
22	FC Cartagena SAD	42	6	5	31	33:78	-45	23

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Cádiz?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports