Málaga vs Cádiz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Málaga - Cádiz
Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
Málaga - Cádiz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.99
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
83% (405/488)72% (224/311)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.581.04
Total shots
177
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
83% (405/488)72% (224/311)
Long passes
51% (27/53)46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
72% (118/165)57% (52/92)
Crosses
11% (3/27)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.21
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1011
Tackles
50% (15/30)67% (14/21)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
946
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.040.58
Goals prevented
0.040.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Ortuno S. ,
  • 32', Nino A. , Lobete J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Brasanac D. , Dotor C. ,
  • 46', Garcia V. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 59', Galilea E. 🟨,
  • 65', Ugiagbe E. , Ocampo B. ,
  • 69', Tabatadze I. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 69', Suso , Diarra Y. ,
  • 71', Juanpe , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 81', Pascual A. , Camara D. ,
  • 82', Montero J. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 90+2', Climent M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Carcelen I. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yvzet78n

Chances of winning


Málaga
41.1%
Draw
30.4%
Cádiz
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 32% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 33.8% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cádiz aligns with the current prediction.
  • Málaga - Cádiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.52)
    3.04
    (3)
    3.4
    (3.2)
    5.5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Málaga - Cádiz?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cádiz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cádiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Munoz J. (Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury) Sanchez D. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Merino I. (Ankle Injury) Nino A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cádiz: Gil D. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Knock) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Cádiz were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2
    12.10.2024 Cádiz - Málaga 2:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    16.08.2025 Málaga - Eibar 1:1
    Latest results of Cádiz
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3
    22.08.2025 Leganés - Cádiz 1:1
    17.08.2025 Cádiz - Mirandés 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna642015:41114
    2Cadiz CF64209:5414
    3Racing Santander641117:12513
    4Valladolid63218:4411
    5Andorra632110:7311
    6Las Palmas63217:4311
    7Eibar63129:5410
    8Huesca63126:8-210
    9Burgos CF623110:649
    10Gijon63037:709
    11Malaga62225:508
    12Almeria622212:13-18
    13Leganes61416:517
    14Mirandes72148:11-37
    15Ceuta62137:12-57
    16Zaragoza71334:7-36
    17Castellon61239:11-25
    18Real Sociedad B61238:10-25
    19Albacete612310:13-35
    20Cordoba61237:11-45
    21Cultural Leonesa61146:12-64
    22Granada CF60245:13-82

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Cádiz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
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