Result
3:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : National League North - Round 12
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Bardell M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Clarke W. ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 2, Pratt G. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Brennan L. ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Ward G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Buxton
41.3% | Draw
27.4% | Chorley
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buxton's performance.Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chorley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buxton - Chorley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(3.05) |
3.64 ↑
(3.45) |
3.36 ↑
(2.14) |
-1.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Buxton - Chorley?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Buxton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 2.
- Buxton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chorley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Chorley?
Buxton has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Buxton?
Chorley has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buxton - Chorley were as follows:
18.04.2025
Buxton
-
Chorley
1:0
04.02.2025
Chorley
-
Buxton
3:0
06.04.2024
Buxton
-
Chorley
3:1
12.12.2023
Chorley
-
Buxton
3:2
25.02.2023
Chorley
-
Buxton
2:2
Latest results of Chorley
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Scarborough | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Spennymoor | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Radcliffe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Chorley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Macclesfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Worksop | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Hereford | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
| 16 | Darlington | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 17 | AFC Telford | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Chester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 | Leamington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 20 | Bedford | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 | Alfreton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 | Oxford City | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 24 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
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