Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic
Result
1:1
29/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.41
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
64% (200/313)78% (335/429)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.45
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
76
Passes
64% (200/313)78% (335/429)
Long passes
38% (30/80)27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)60% (80/134)
Crosses
19% (4/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.35
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
67
Tackles
60% (12/20)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5853
Clearances
3442
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.451.14
Goals prevented
-0.500.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Burrell R. ,
  • 60', Bennett M. 🟨,
  • 65', Weir J. , McHugh H. ,
  • 66', Mellish J. , Darcy R. ,
  • 66', Smith J. , Robinson L. ,
  • 69', Sweeney R. , Sraha J. ,
  • 85', Webster C. , Forde A. ,
  • 89', Aimson W. , Sze C. ,
  • 89', Dale O. , McManaman C. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Darcy R. ,
  • 90+6', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
42%
Draw
30.4%
Wigan Athletic
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.4% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 29.8% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.4)
    3.11
    (3.31)
    3.42
    (2.92)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Wigan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
    • Recent matches Burton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wigan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Wigan: Adams J. (Knee Injury) Chambers L. (Inactive) Francois T. (Knee Injury) Goodwin W. (Muscle Injury) Payne K. (Injury) Sessegnon S. (Inactive) Smith M. (Hamstring Injury) Thomas S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Jones J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Norburn O. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Burton won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
    21.01.2025 Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion 1:2
    29.03.2024 Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion 1:1
    03.10.2023 Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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