Stevenage Borough vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion
Result
0:1
18/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 26
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.08
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
168
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
62
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
113
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
21
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2414
Touches in the Opposition Box
3223
Passes
80% (388/486)60% (141/236)
Passes in the final third
67% (120/179)52% (46/89)
Crosses
33% (11/33)38% (6/16)
Tackles
67% (8/12)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
2738
Interceptions
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', 0 - 1, Webster C. , Burrell R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Reid J. (Pen),
  • 57', Vancooten T. 🟥,
  • 63', King E. , List E. ,
  • 63', Phillips D. , Thompson L. ,
  • 65', Burrell R. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 69', Roberts J. , Freeman N. ,
  • 75', Smith K. , Edwards K. ,
  • 75', Reid J. , Young J. ,
  • 79', Dodgson O. 🟨,
  • 84', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 90', Crocombe M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
51.2%
Draw
28.5%
Burton Albion
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.7% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.64)
    3.32
    (3.81)
    4.67
    (5.47)
    5.7%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Burton will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 17%68.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2.
    • Recent matches Stevenage is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:4
    24.08.2024 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    13.04.2024 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 1:2
    09.12.2023 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 1:2
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Stockport County1264218:14422
    5AFC Wimbledon1271417:13422
    6Lincoln1163217:10721
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1252511:16-517
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Leyton Orient1242620:22-214
    14Northampton114258:10-214
    15Port Vale1234511:11013
    16Exeter1241712:13-113
    17Wigan1234515:17-213
    18Plymouth1141616:19-313
    19Wycombe1233614:15-112
    20Burton1133510:15-512
    21Reading1125412:16-411
    22Rotherham1132611:16-511
    23Blackpool1222810:20-108
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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