Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League One - Round 8
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (423/520) | 69% (197/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (423/520) | 69% (197/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (45/85) | 33% (27/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (99/152) | 49% (46/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽, Bayliss T. (A),
- 36', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 45', Jackson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 72', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 72', Evans G. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 77', House B. 🟨,
- 78', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
- 78', Collins J. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 78', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 79', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
- 86', Beesley J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 87', Hartridge A. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
- 90+5', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
27.9% | Draw
29.1% | Lincoln City
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4%)
Burton Albion - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(2.9) |
3.41 ↑
(3.27) |
2.26 ↓
(2.38) |
0.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Recent performances by Burton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lincoln is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
Street R.
(Red Card)
Towler R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Burton: Sraha J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Bayliss T.
(Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Lincoln City?
Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Burton Albion?
Lincoln City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Lincoln City were as follows:
26.08.2025
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
22.02.2025
Lincoln City
-
Burton Albion
0:1
10.08.2024
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
2:3
03.02.2024
Burton Albion
-
Lincoln City
0:1
14.10.2023
Lincoln City
-
Burton Albion
0:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
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