Derby County vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Derby County - Burton Albion
Result
3:2
15/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 28
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Derby County - Burton Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Derby County
76.3%
Draw
15.9%
Burton Albion
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 19.8% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 19.5% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Derby County - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.35)
    5.97
    (4.7)
    12.09
    (8.29)
    6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Burton will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 72.7%98.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Derby is absolute favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Derby won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Burton Albion were as follows:
    12.08.2023 Burton Albion - Derby County 0:3
    22.04.2023 Derby County - Burton Albion 1:0
    10.12.2022 Burton Albion - Derby County 1:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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