Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion
Result
3:1
15/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 32
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.90
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
910
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
04
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
49
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
136
Offsides
10
Fouls
613
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
2327
Passes
80% (354/441)74% (262/355)
Passes in the final third
69% (83/120)59% (91/153)
Crosses
21% (4/19)20% (7/35)
Tackles
44% (4/9)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
5028
Interceptions
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Martin C. , Sousa L. (A),
  • 35', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', Chauke K. 🟨,
  • 69', Thomas L. 🟨,
  • 72', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 72', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 73', McKiernan J. J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 73', Dodgson O. , Lofthouse K. ,
  • 74', Ward G. , Lindsay J. ,
  • 74', Sinclair S. , Forde S. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Tavares F. , Sweeney R. (A),
  • 84', Tavares F. , Larsson J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Thomas L. , Martin C. (A),
  • 90+2', Sotiriou R. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 90+2', Hunt J. , Swinkels S. ,
  • 90+2', Thomas L. , Moore T. ,
  • 90+5', Bennett M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Martin C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
34.9%
Draw
28.7%
Burton Albion
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27.3% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.33)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    2.6
    (2.89)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
    • Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers 1:3
    10.02.2024 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 1:2
    21.10.2023 Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers 4:1
    18.02.2023 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 1:2
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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