Muangthong United vs Buriram United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Thai FA Cup Muangthong United - Buriram United
Result
2:3
24/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Thai FA Cup - Final
Muangthong United - Buriram United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.412.37
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
84% (346/411)76% (247/327)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.412.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.832.07
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
84% (346/411)76% (247/327)
Long passes
52% (26/50)29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)60% (59/99)
Crosses
17% (3/18)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.59
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1417
Tackles
73% (8/11)92% (12/13)
Duels won
4141
Clearances
1317
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.071.83
Goals prevented
-0.93-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 19', Dougall K. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Bissoli (Pen),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Causic G. , Good C. (A),
  • 40', Jaided S. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Arjvirai P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hong Jung-Woon , Tasa K. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Bissoli ,
  • 59', Sukjitthammakul P. 🟨,
  • 63', Roback E. , Thodsanit P. ,
  • 63', Autra P. , Sattham J. ,
  • 65', Sukjitthammakul P. , Haiprakon S. ,
  • 65', Good C. , Zulj P. ,
  • 65', Bunmathan T. , Cools D. ,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. , Thodsanit P. (A),
  • 78', Etheridge N. 🟨,
  • 78', Khamyok K. , Yoryoei T. ,
  • 81', Maikami R. , Stephen Berg A. ,
  • 88', Jaided S. , Hemviboon P. ,

Chances of winning


Muangthong United
17.5%
Draw
25.9%
Buriram United
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.3% 27% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 25.7% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Muangthong United - Buriram United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.27
    (6.36)
    3.56
    (3.38)
    1.63
    (1.56)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Buriram United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Thammasat Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 1.
    • Muangthong United is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Buriram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Buriram is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.7:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Buriram United were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Muangthong United - Buriram United 1:3
    22.12.2024 Buriram United - Muangthong United 1:0
    22.05.2024 Buriram United - Muangthong United 0:2
    27.04.2024 Buriram United - Muangthong United 3:1
    03.12.2023 Muangthong United - Buriram United 2:2
    Latest results of Muangthong United
    Latest results of Buriram United
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/16-finals
    1Khonkaen FCCha Choeng Sao3 : 1
    2SukhothaiMuang Loei4 : 0
    3Bangkok UtdNong Bua Pitchaya3 : 0
    4Nakhon PathomMuang Thong Utd0 : 4
    5Bangkok FCSuphanburi2 : 3
    6RatchaburiThai Navy3 : 0
    7PhraeRayong FC1 : 0
    8Nakhon SiLampang3 : 2
    9Kasem BunditChanthaburi0 : 1
    10Raj PrachaMuangnont1 : 0
    11MahasarakhamBuriram0 : 5
    12Chiangrai UtdLamphun Warrior2 : 0
    13Kamphaeng PhetSamut Sakhon City0 : 2
    14Nakhon Ratchasima FCChonburi2 : 1
    15HuasamrongSurin City0 : 1
    16Lopburi CityPathum United0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Khonkaen FCSukhothai0 : 1
    2Bangkok UtdMuang Thong Utd1 : 2
    3SuphanburiRatchaburi1 : 7
    4PhraeNakhon Si2 : 1
    5ChanthaburiRaj Pracha2 : 1
    6BuriramChiangrai Utd2 : 1
    7Samut Sakhon CityNakhon Ratchasima FC1 : 4
    8Surin CityPathum United1 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1SukhothaiMuang Thong Utd2 : 5
    2RatchaburiPhrae7 : 1
    3ChanthaburiBuriram0 : 1
    4Nakhon Ratchasima FCPathum United1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Muang Thong UtdRatchaburi3 : 2
    2BuriramPathum United3 : 0

    Final
    1Muang Thong UtdBuriram2 : 3
    Which TV channels are streaming of Muangthong United - Buriram United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    thailandThailandTrue Ball Thai 1, True ID
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