Burgos vs Ponferradina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Burgos - Ponferradina
Result
2:2
15/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36
  • Referee: Frances R. (Esp)
Burgos - Ponferradina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Burgos
44.7%
Draw
32.3%
Ponferradina
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 31.6% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 31.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Burgos - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.08)
    2.9
    (2.95)
    4.09
    (3.96)
    6.2%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Burgos - Ponferradina?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 33.7%75.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Burgos has the most likely position - 8 (19.54%), project points - 58, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (48.05%), project points - 42, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (89%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 27, small importance 24, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3.
    • Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Ponferradina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burgos will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Ponferradina were as follows:
    05.12.2022 Ponferradina - Burgos 1:2
    Latest results of Burgos
    09.04.2023 Huesca - Burgos 2:1
    01.04.2023 Burgos - Racing Santander 2:1
    25.03.2023 Ibiza - Burgos 2:0
    11.03.2023 Eibar - Burgos 1:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    09.04.2023 Ponferradina - Leganés 0:1
    02.04.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    26.03.2023 Ponferradina - Mirandés 0:0
    12.03.2023 Granada - Ponferradina 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1R. Oviedo (3)Almeria (6)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Mirandes (4)Racing Santander (5)4 : 1, 3 : 3

    Final
    1R. Oviedo (3)Mirandes (4)3 : 1, 0 : 1
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