Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (293/377) | 73% (277/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (293/377) | 73% (277/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (39/76) | 57% (60/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Lorenzo D. ⚽, Lobete J. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Appin K. ⚽, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (A),
- 31', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
- 33', Murillo D. 🟨,
- 42', Nino F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sanchez D. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
- 57', Cordoba I. ↓, Curro ↑,
- 60', Lobete J. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
- 61', Cordoba A. 🟨,
- 63', Atienza M. 🟨,
- 68', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 69', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 69', Cordoba A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez R. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
- 70', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Miguel F. ⚽, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (A),
- 80', Juanpe ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
- 88', Galilea E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Curro 🟨,
- 90+2', Galilea E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/8addhfhf
Chances of winning
Burgos
39% | Draw
37.2% | Málaga
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Burgos - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.11) |
2.63 ↓
(3.15) |
4.29 ↑
(3.49) |
-1.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Burgos - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Burgos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burgos: Exposito M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M.
(Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Merino I.
(Ankle Injury)
Munoz J.
(Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
Puga C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burgos: Chapela I.
(Injury)
Mollejo V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Málaga?
Burgos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Burgos?
Málaga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Málaga were as follows:
31.05.2025
Málaga
-
Burgos
2:2
15.12.2024
Burgos
-
Málaga
0:0
21.01.2023
Málaga
-
Burgos
1:1
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. La Coruna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Racing Santander | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Huesca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Valladolid | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Almeria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Eibar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Castellon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Ceuta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Albacete | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Gijon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Mirandes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Burgos - Málaga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
