Eibar vs Burgos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).

: LaLiga2 - Round 40

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.36
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
9	5
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
83% (360/436)	80% (375/466)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.30
Total shots
9	5
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
10	20
Passes
83% (360/436)	80% (375/466)
Long passes
52% (32/61)	41% (31/76)
Passes in final third
68% (71/105)	64% (66/103)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.45
Throw-ins
25	33
Fouls
20	10
Tackles
68% (13/19)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
55	52
Clearances
23	17
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.30	1.32
Goals prevented
0.30	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Corpas J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Alex Sancris 🟨,
59', Cordoba A. 🟨,
64', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
64', Cordoba I. ↓, Ojeda D. ↑,
68', Guruzeta J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
68', Puertas A. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
75', Alex Sancris ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
75', Atienza M. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
84', Gutierrez C. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,
84', Arbilla A. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
85', Morante I. ↓, Bares G. ↑,
88', Sierra G. 🟥,
90+1', Miguel F. 🟨,
90+2', Corpas J. ↓, Carrasco O. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/k5awrcrz

Chances of winning

Eibar
47.8%

Draw
29.8%

Burgos
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Eibar - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.36)	3.15 ↑ (2.96)	4.19 ↑ (3.59)	6.2% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Eibar - Burgos?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Eibar is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Eibar: Madariaga A. (Knee Injury) Troncho A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Elady (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Eibar: Alkain X. (Injury) Comas A. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Burgos?

Eibar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Eibar?

Burgos has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Burgos were as follows:

23.11.2024 Burgos - Eibar 1:0

10.03.2024 Eibar - Burgos 0:1

09.09.2023 Burgos - Eibar 1:0

11.03.2023 Eibar - Burgos 1:0

08.12.2022 Burgos - Eibar 1:2

Latest results of Eibar

12.05.2025 Granada - Eibar 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Eibar - Mirandés 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Tenerife - Eibar 1:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Zaragoza - Eibar 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

10.05.2025 Burgos - Córdoba 3:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Burgos - Elche 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Burgos - Cádiz 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Tenerife - Burgos 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levante	42	22	13	7	69:42	27	79
2	Elche	42	22	11	9	59:34	25	77
3	R. Oviedo	42	21	12	9	56:42	14	75
4	Mirandes	42	22	9	11	59:40	19	75
5	Racing Santander	42	20	11	11	65:51	14	71
6	Almeria	42	19	12	11	72:55	17	69
7	Granada CF	42	18	11	13	65:54	11	65
8	Huesca	42	18	10	14	58:49	9	64
9	Eibar	42	15	13	14	44:41	3	58
10	Albacete	42	15	13	14	57:57	0	58
11	Gijon	42	14	14	14	57:54	3	56
12	Burgos CF	42	15	10	17	41:48	-7	55
13	Cadiz CF	42	14	13	15	55:53	2	55
14	Cordoba	42	14	13	15	59:63	-4	55
15	Dep. La Coruna	42	13	14	15	56:54	2	53
16	Malaga	42	12	17	13	42:46	-4	53
17	Castellon	42	14	11	17	65:63	2	53
18	Zaragoza	42	13	12	17	56:63	-7	51
19	Eldense	42	11	12	19	44:63	-19	45
20	Tenerife	42	8	12	22	35:55	-20	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol	42	6	12	24	22:64	-42	30
22	FC Cartagena SAD	42	6	5	31	33:78	-45	23

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Eibar - Burgos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2