Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Rhodes G. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (140/267) | 59% (178/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (140/267) | 59% (178/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (27/97) | 34% (30/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (54/124) | 53% (62/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.51 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Butcher M. ⚽,
- 40', Harris K. 🟨,
- 43', Cotterill J. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Harrison E. ⚽, Kilgour A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Moore T. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 54', Garbutt L. 🟨,
- 57', Ashley O. 🟨,
- 61', Mola C. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽,
- 65', Woodburn B. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
- 65', Ashley O. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 74', Mnoga H. 🟨,
- 81', McEachran J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
- 84', Cooper B. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
- 90+3', Cavegn F. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 90+6', Mnoga H. 🟥,
- 90+7', Garbutt L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
34.5% | Draw
27.3% | Salford City
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bristol Rovers - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.21) |
3.67 ↑
(3.64) |
2.55 ↓
(2.89) |
-0.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Salford: Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
N'Mai K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Howley R.
(Inactive)
Young B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Salford City?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Bristol Rovers?
Salford City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Salford City were as follows:
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Barnet | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Crewe | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Salford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Bromley | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Cambridge Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 |
| 15 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Colchester | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 14 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Barrow | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Newport | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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