Bristol City vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.57
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
2	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
78% (354/456)	60% (146/243)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	0.00
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
2	0
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
11	4
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
28	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	0
Free Kicks
11	6
Passes
78% (354/456)	60% (146/243)
Long passes
29% (17/59)	30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
62% (73/118)	47% (42/90)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.48
Throw-ins
29	26
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
68% (13/19)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
64	49
Clearances
25	25
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	1.16
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Knight J. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
31', Thompson N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kelly L. ↓, Gilbey A. ↑,
46', Morrison E. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
46', Yeboah E. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
54', Hogan S. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Hirakawa Y. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
62', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
62', Mehmeti A. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
62', Hogan S. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
63', Thompson N. ↓, Offord L. ↑,
63', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
71', Collar W. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,
75', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bristol City
62.9%

Draw
21.9%

Milton Keynes Dons
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	4.29 ↑ (3.8)	6.17 ↑ (5.17)	5% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
MK Dons has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.
We predict that Bristol City will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Bristol City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Bristol City?

Milton Keynes Dons has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

Latest results of Bristol City

09.08.2025 Sheffield United - Bristol City 1:4 ✺

02.08.2025 Bristol City - Valladolid 4:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City 0:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

12.05.2025 Sheffield United - Bristol City 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

09.08.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Wealdstone - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+