Luton Town vs Bristol City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Luton Town - Bristol City
Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
Luton Town - Bristol City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.64
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
70% (181/258)84% (399/473)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.41
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2316
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
70% (181/258)84% (399/473)
Long passes
39% (26/67)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
65% (74/114)72% (124/173)
Crosses
29% (5/17)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.77
Fouls
1112
Tackles
61% (11/18)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5550
Clearances Total
2441
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.412.47
Goals prevented
0.41-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Pring C. , Roberts H. ,
  • 22', McCrorie R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Aasgaard T. , Makosso C. (A),
  • 52', 1 - 1, Tanner G. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Morris C. , Mengi T. (A),
  • 60', Bird M. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 60', Wells N. , Earthy G. ,
  • 67', Makosso C. , Burke R. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Jones I. ,
  • 76', McCrorie R. , Morrison E. ,
  • 76', Mehmeti A. , Twine S. ,
  • 82', Earthy G. 🟨,
  • 82', Dabo L. , Baptiste S. ,
  • 83', Knight J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
38.3%
Draw
29.5%
Bristol City
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28.8% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 29.3% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Luton Town - Bristol City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.74)
    3.21
    (3.28)
    2.95
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bristol City?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 55.3%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bristol City (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
    • Recent matches Luton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A. (Hamstring Injury) Cornick H. (Hamstring Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Sykes M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol City: Campbell-Slowey J. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Luton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bristol City were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Bristol City - Luton Town 1:0
    15.03.2023 Luton Town - Bristol City 1:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    18.04.2025 Derby County - Luton Town 0:1
    08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    Latest results of Bristol City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough752012:5717
    2Coventry734018:71113
    3Stoke741210:5513
    4Bristol City733113:7612
    5Leicester73319:6312
    6Preston73317:5212
    7Charlton73227:5211
    8West Brom73228:7111
    9QPR732211:13-211
    10Millwall73226:8-211
    11Birmingham73135:8-310
    12Ipswich623111:659
    13Swansea72327:619
    14Norwich722310:1008
    15Wrexham722312:13-18
    16Watford72237:8-18
    17Portsmouth72235:7-28
    18Hull722311:14-38
    19Southampton71428:10-27
    20Blackburn62045:8-36
    21Derby71339:13-46
    22Oxford Utd71249:11-25
    23Sheffield Wed71246:13-75
    24Sheffield Utd71062:13-113

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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