Brest vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Brest - PSV Eindhoven
Result
1:0
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Brest - PSV Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.78
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
1118
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
47
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
48
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Free Kicks
914
Offsides
32
Fouls
149
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2526
Touches in the Opposition Box
1639
Passes
70% (203/290)84% (495/587)
Passes in the final third
66% (77/117)75% (126/168)
Crosses
14% (2/14)24% (5/21)
Tackles
64% (18/28)72% (18/25)
Clearances Total
3214
Interceptions
1113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Dams M. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Le Cardinal J. , Balde M. (A),
  • 45+2', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Karsdorp R. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 46', Dams M. , Veerman J. ,
  • 56', Le Cardinal J. , Pereira Lage M. ,
  • 58', Del Castillo R. 🟨,
  • 64', Tillman M. 🟨,
  • 69', Balde M. , Sima A. ,
  • 73', Bakayoko J. , Lozano H. ,
  • 73', de Jong L. , Pepi R. ,
  • 84', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
  • 84', Tillman M. , Til G. ,
  • 86', Veerman J. 🟨,
  • 88', Doumbia K. , Salah I. ,

Chances of winning


Brest
19%
Draw
23.2%
PSV Eindhoven
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 27.5% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 26.3% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.
  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSV Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brest - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.07
    (3.07)
    4.14
    (3.49)
    1.67
    (2.33)
    3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Brest - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 7 - 8.3%). PSV will win (votes: 60 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 20.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 61.7%81.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • Brest is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • PSV is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Brest have a series of guest games.
    • In this match PSV is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Brest: Ajorque L. (Yellow Cards) Coulibaly S. (Groin Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martin J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Fofana F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Faivre R. (Ankle Injury) Lala K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Schouten J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Brest
    06.12.2024 Lille - Brest 3:1
    30.11.2024 Brest - Strasbourg 3:1
    26.11.2024 Barcelona - Brest 3:0
    22.11.2024 Monaco - Brest 3:2
    10.11.2024 Montpellier - Brest 3:1
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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