Brest vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Brest - Lille
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
Brest - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.86
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
78% (300/387)86% (515/600)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.08
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
712
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
146
Passes
78% (300/387)86% (515/600)
Long passes
50% (34/68)64% (35/55)
Passes in final third
55% (46/84)74% (113/152)
Crosses
27% (3/11)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.72
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
614
Tackles
75% (12/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5438
Clearances
3219
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.081.84
Goals prevented
0.08-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Bakker M. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 40', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. , Del Castillo R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Doumbia K. ,
  • 66', Haraldsson H. , Cabella R. ,
  • 66', Mukau N. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 66', Fernandez-Pardo M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 70', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
  • 72', Del Castillo R. , Sima A. ,
  • 72', Haidara M. , Locko B. ,
  • 82', Doumbia K. , Martin J. ,
  • 88', Ismaily , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 88', Ajorque L. , Makalou H. ,

Chances of winning


Brest
20.2%
Draw
23.9%
Lille
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 25.5% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 25.3% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Brest - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.73
    (4.2)
    3.97
    (3.74)
    1.71
    (1.84)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Brest - Lille?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is Lille will win! (51 of 61 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 0.
    • Brest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lille is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (Foot Injury) Chardonnet B. (Yellow Cards) Lees-Melou P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Diakite B. (Red Card) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Camara M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Hamstring Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A. (Back Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lille were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Lille - Brest 3:1
    17.03.2024 Brest - Lille 1:1
    22.10.2023 Lille - Brest 1:0
    24.02.2023 Lille - Brest 2:1
    11.01.2023 Brest - Lille 0:0
    Latest results of Brest
    04.05.2025 Brest - Montpellier 1:0
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    27.04.2025 Angers - Lille 0:2
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque

    Final
    1ByeTBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Brest - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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