Valur vs Breiðablik: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Icelandic Besta-deild karla Valur - Breiðablik
Result
1:1
22/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 1
Valur - Breiðablik - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.121.80
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
1111
Passes
78% (310/398)76% (257/337)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.121.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.85
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
198
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
1111
Touches in opposition box
3428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
78% (310/398)76% (257/337)
Long passes
43% (30/69)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)69% (95/137)
Crosses
22% (5/23)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.56
Throw-ins
2730
Fouls
1211
Tackles
74% (17/23)71% (15/21)
Duels won
6047
Clearances
3127
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.852.14
Goals prevented
-0.151.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Nakkim M. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Gunnlaugsson H. (Pen),
  • 67', Sigurdsson K. , Johannsson A. ,
  • 67', Antonsson B. , Larusson S. ,
  • 78', Heimisson L. , Palsson J. ,
  • 78', Skoglund A. , Lundemo M. ,
  • 84', Jonsson K. , Orrason A. ,
  • 89', Omarsson O. , Jonsson A. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 1, Haraldsson T. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Thomsen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Valur
44.4%
Draw
23.4%
Breiðablik
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 24.1% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 25.3% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Valur - Breiðablik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.2)
    4.06
    (3.9)
    2.93
    (2.86)
    6.3%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Valur - Breiðablik?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Breiðablik will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
    • Valur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Breiðablik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Breiðablik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:44. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Breiðablik were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Valur - Breiðablik 2:1
    19.05.2025 Breiðablik - Valur 2:1
    06.10.2024 Breiðablik - Valur 2:2
    15.08.2024 Valur - Breiðablik 0:2
    06.05.2024 Breiðablik - Valur 2:3
    Latest results of Valur
    14.09.2025 Valur - Stjarnan 1:2
    31.08.2025 Fram - Valur 2:1
    26.08.2025 Valur - Afturelding 4:3
    22.08.2025 Valur - Vestri 0:1
    17.08.2025 ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur 4:1
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    11.09.2025 Akraness - Breiðablik 3:0
    28.08.2025 Virtus - Breiðablik 1:3
    21.08.2025 Breiðablik - Virtus 2:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ 25156454:302451
    2Valur25135757:401744
    3Stjarnan25125847:41641
    4Breidablik25109642:38439
    5Hafnarfjordur2588942:38432
    6Fram25951136:36032

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Valur - Breiðablik?
    It is being streamed on channel
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