Result
06/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Brasil de Pelotas 43.3% | Draw 30.3% | São Luiz 26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Luiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Luiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brasil de Pelotas - São Luiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.63) |
2.99 ↓ (3.2) |
3.42 ↑ (2.4) |
10.5% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 2.
- In recent matches, Brasil de Pelotas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São Luiz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brasil de Pelotas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brasil de Pelotas won against São Luiz?
Brasil de Pelotas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Luiz won against Brasil de Pelotas?
São Luiz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brasil de Pelotas - São Luiz were as follows:
10.05.2025
São Luiz
-
Brasil de Pelotas
1:0
07.02.2024
São Luiz
-
Brasil de Pelotas
2:2
04.03.2023
Brasil de Pelotas
-
São Luiz
1:0
Latest results of Brasil de Pelotas
Latest results of São Luiz
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tuna Luso | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
2 | Manauara | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 21:7 | 14 | 20 |
3 | Aguia De Maraba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
4 | Independencia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
5 | Manaus | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
6 | Trem | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
7 | GAS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
8 | Humaita | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8:37 | -29 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AE Altos | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Imperatriz | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
3 | Sampaio Correa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
4 | Maranhao | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Iguatu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
6 | Tocantinopolis | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
7 | Parnahyba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
8 | Maracana | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Santa Cruz | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Central SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
3 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
4 | Ferroviario | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
6 | Sousa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Treze PB | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
8 | Horizonte | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | ASA | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
2 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
3 | Sergipe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
4 | Jequie | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
5 | Lagarto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
7 | Barcelona | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 8 |
8 | SC Penedense | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Aparecidense | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
2 | Ceilandia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
3 | Luverdense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 20 |
4 | Mixto | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Capital | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
6 | Goiania | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
7 | Goianesia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
8 | Porto Velho | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Portuguesa | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
2 | Rio Branco ES | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | Marica | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 16 |
4 | Agua Santa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
5 | Pouso Alegre | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
6 | Nova Iguacu | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Porto Vitoria | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Boavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Inter de Limeira | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Cianorte | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
3 | Uberlandia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 14 |
4 | Goiatuba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Cascavel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
6 | Monte Azul | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
7 | Operario MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
8 | Itabirito | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barra FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
2 | Joinville | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
3 | EC Sao Jose | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
5 | Azuriz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
6 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
7 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
8 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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