Guarany de Bagé vs Brasil de Pelotas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas
Result
1:0
29/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 10
Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
12
Total shots
94
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
12
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 78', 1 - 0, Marcio Jonatan (Pen),

Chances of winning


Guarany de Bagé
46.1%
Draw
28.9%
Brasil de Pelotas
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.5% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 27.9% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarany de Bagé's form might have worsened.
  • Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarany de Bagé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.7)
    3.13
    (3.4)
    3.62
    (4.4)
    10.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).
    • Guarany de Bagé is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Brasil de Pelotas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guarany de Bagé is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 0:0
    25.01.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 0:0
    11.02.2024 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 1:1
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Latest results of Brasil de Pelotas
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia
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