Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Draper: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP London Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper
Result
1:2
20/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Quarter-finals
Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
1314
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
63%67%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (48/66)78% (53/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (21/39)53% (18/34)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Average 1st Serve Speed
196 km/h198 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
166 km/h166 km/h
1st Return Points Won
22% (15/68)27% (18/66)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (16/34)46% (18/39)
Break Points Converted
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Winners
2941
Unforced Errors
3237
Net Points Won
78% (14/18)86% (12/14)
Service Points Won
66% (69/105)70% (72/103)
Return Points Won
30% (31/103)34% (36/105)
Total Points Won
48% (100/208)52% (108/208)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
21.3%
Jack Draper
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 72.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.
  • Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.47
    (2.97)

    1.22
    (1.32)
    4.7%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Draper will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Draper (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Draper is ranked ATP: 6.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Draper is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper were as follows:
    15.06.2024 Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper 0:2
    04.11.2023 Jack Draper - Brandon Nakashima 2:1
    11.11.2022 Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper 3:1
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Walton A. (LL)2 : 0
    2Thompson J. (RET.)Munar J.0 : 1
    3Opelka R. (PR)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    4Rinderknech A. (LL)Shelton B. (6)2 : 0
    5Rune H. (4)O'Connell C. (LL)2 : 0
    6McDonald M.Monfils G.2 : 0
    7Bautista-Agut R.Borges N.2 : 1
    8Norrie C. (WC)Mensik J. (8)1 : 2
    9De Minaur A. (5)Lehecka J.0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Harris B. (WC)2 : 1
    11Fearnley J.Bolt A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Moutet C. (Q)Fritz T. (3)2 : 1
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Evans D. (WC)0 : 2
    14Nakashima B.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    15Popyrin A.Vukic A. (Q)2 : 1
    16Brooksby J. (PR)Draper J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Munar J.2 : 1
    2Opelka R.Rinderknech A.0 : 2
    3Rune H. (4)McDonald M.2 : 1
    4Bautista-Agut R.Mensik J. (8)2 : 1
    5Lehecka J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    6Fearnley J.Moutet C.2 : 1
    7Evans D.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    8Popyrin A.Draper J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Rune H. (4)Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    4Nakashima B.Draper J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    2Lehecka J.Draper J. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Lehecka J.2 : 1
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