Vitoria Guimarães vs Braga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimarães - Braga
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 6
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
Vitoria Guimarães - Braga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.39
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
76% (256/337)86% (480/556)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.011.03
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
76% (256/337)86% (480/556)
Long passes
50% (30/60)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
60% (39/65)78% (149/192)
Crosses
29% (4/14)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.91
Throw-ins
2329
Fouls
1415
Tackles
80% (8/10)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4050
Clearances
3923
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.031.01
Goals prevented
0.030.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Navarro F. ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Mitrovic M. , Gustavo (A),
  • 45+4', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Oliveira N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
  • 50', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 54', Gustavo 🟨,
  • 61', Arcanjo T. , Blanco F. ,
  • 61', Nogueira M. , Samu ,
  • 65', Gustavo , Saviolo N. ,
  • 68', Navarro F. , El Ouazzani A. ,
  • 72', Zalazar R. 🟨,
  • 79', Horta R. , Victor P. ,
  • 79', Gorby , Gabriel Moscardo ,
  • 81', Mitrovic M. , Sousa D. ,
  • 81', Oliveira N. , Ndoye A. ,
  • 87', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
  • 88', Martinez G. , Rodrigues D. ,
  • 90+4', Pinto L. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
25.9%
Draw
28.7%
Braga
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 27.5% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.9% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.4)
    3.28
    (3.46)
    2.11
    (2.13)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Braga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Braga will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Braga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Samu (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Braga: Lagerbielke G. (Inactive) Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vidigal S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Dorgeles M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Braga were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 0:0
    31.10.2024 Braga - Vitoria Guimarães 2:1
    15.09.2024 Braga - Vitoria Guimarães 0:2
    11.05.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 2:3
    06.01.2024 Braga - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Braga
    14.09.2025 Braga - Gil Vicente 0:1
    31.08.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:2
    28.08.2025 Braga - Lincoln Red Imps 5:1
    24.08.2025 Braga - AVS 2:2
    21.08.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Braga 0:4
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto660015:11418
    2Benfica752013:4917
    3Sporting CP650118:41415
    4Moreirense750210:8215
    5Gil Vicente74128:4413
    6Famalicao63217:3411
    7Braga623111:659
    8Vitoria Guimaraes62227:9-28
    9Santa Clara72235:8-38
    10Arouca62229:14-58
    11Casa Pia72146:11-57
    12Estoril61238:10-25
    13Tondela71244:11-75
    14Estrela60423:6-34
    15Nacional61145:10-54
    16Alverca61146:11-54
    17Rio Ave60428:13-54
    18AFS60154:14-101

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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Vitoria Guimarães - Braga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
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