Fiorentina vs Braga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Braga
Result
3:2
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Fiorentina - Braga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fiorentina
61.8%
Draw
21.9%
Braga
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 30.2% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.89)
    4.34
    (3.38)
    5.78
    (4.23)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Braga?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Fiorentina has currently - 13, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (70%), has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (29%), has a chance of win league (17%).
    • Braga has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Braga have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Venuti L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Braga: Tormena (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Gorby (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Braga were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    19.02.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 1:1
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    12.02.2023 Juventus - Fiorentina 1:0
    05.02.2023 Fiorentina - Bologna 1:2
    01.02.2023 Fiorentina - Torino 2:1
    Latest results of Braga
    19.02.2023 Braga - Arouca 2:0
    16.02.2023 Braga - Fiorentina 0:4
    12.02.2023 Marítimo - Braga 1:2
    09.02.2023 Braga - Benfica 2:1
    05.02.2023 Braga - Famalicão 4:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Gent (17)Betis (15)1 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Vitoria Guimaraes (2)Bye
    3TSC (24)Jagiellonia (9)1 : 3, 1 : 3
    4Cercle Brugge KSV (8)Bye
    5Celje (21)APOEL (11)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    6Lugano (6)Bye
    7Vikingur Reykjavik (19)Panathinaikos (13)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    8Fiorentina (3)Bye
    9FC Copenhagen (18)Heidenheim (16)3 : 1, 1 : 2
    10Chelsea (1)Bye
    11Molde (23)Shamrock Rovers (10)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    12Legia (7)Bye
    13Omonia (22)Pafos (12)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    14Djurgarden (5)Bye
    15Borac Banja Luka (20)O. Ljubljana (14)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    16SK Rapid (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Betis (15)Vitoria Guimaraes (2)4 : 0, 2 : 2
    2Jagiellonia (9)Cercle Brugge KSV (8)0 : 2, 3 : 0
    3Celje (21)Lugano (6)5 : 5, 1 : 0
    4Panathinaikos (13)Fiorentina (3)1 : 3, 3 : 2
    5FC Copenhagen (18)Chelsea (1)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    6Molde (23)Legia (7)0 : 2, 3 : 2
    7Pafos (12)Djurgarden (5)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    8Borac Banja Luka (20)SK Rapid (4)1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Betis (15)Jagiellonia (9)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2Celje (21)Fiorentina (3)2 : 2, 1 : 2
    3Chelsea (1)Legia (7)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    4Djurgarden (5)SK Rapid (4)4 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Betis (15)Fiorentina (3)2 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Chelsea (1)Djurgarden (5)1 : 0, 4 : 1

    Final
    1Betis (15)Chelsea (1)
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