Braga vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Braga - Benfica
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 34
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
Braga - Benfica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.34
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
77% (263/340)82% (402/491)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.560.32
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
815
Passes
77% (263/340)82% (402/491)
Long passes
36% (26/72)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
63% (68/108)65% (97/150)
Crosses
21% (4/19)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.37
Throw-ins
1224
Fouls
158
Tackles
55% (12/22)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5459
Clearances
4722
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.322.56
Goals prevented
-0.681.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. (Pen),
  • 33', Kokcu O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Chissumba 🟨,
  • 54', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 57', Racic U. 🟨,
  • 59', Schjelderup A. , Di Maria A. ,
  • 59', Akturkoglu K. , Bruma ,
  • 60', Florentino , Belotti A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Pavlidis V. , Di Maria A. (A),
  • 66', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 72', Zalazar R. , Vitor Carvalho ,
  • 72', Racic U. , Gorby ,
  • 73', Patrao A. , El Ouazzani A. ,
  • 73', Araujo T. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 76', Niakate S. , Robson Bambu ,
  • 87', Kokcu O. , Cabral A. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez V. , Ferreira J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Braga
17.6%
Draw
21.3%
Benfica
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 23.5% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 23.2% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Braga - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.34
    (4.13)
    4.42
    (4.03)
    1.56
    (1.76)
    5.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Braga - Benfica?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Benfica will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7%97.94%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1.
    • In recent matches, Braga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Benfica is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Amdouni Z. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Benfica were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:0
    08.01.2025 Benfica - Braga 3:0
    04.01.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:2
    27.04.2024 Benfica - Braga 3:1
    10.01.2024 Benfica - Braga 3:2
    Latest results of Braga
    10.05.2025 Casa Pia - Braga 2:1
    03.05.2025 Braga - Santa Clara 1:1
    25.04.2025 Famalicão - Braga 1:1
    19.04.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:2
    13.04.2025 Braga - AVS 4:1
    Latest results of Benfica
    10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    03.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Benfica 1:2
    27.04.2025 Benfica - AVS 6:0
    23.04.2025 Benfica - Tirsense 4:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Braga - Benfica?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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