Braga vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Braga - Benfica
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 34
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
Braga - Benfica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.34
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
77% (263/340)82% (402/491)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.560.32
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
815
Passes
77% (263/340)82% (402/491)
Long passes
36% (26/72)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
63% (68/108)65% (97/150)
Crosses
21% (4/19)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.37
Throw-ins
1224
Fouls
158
Tackles
55% (12/22)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5459
Clearances
4722
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.322.56
Goals prevented
-0.681.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. (Pen),
  • 33', Kokcu O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Chissumba 🟨,
  • 54', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 57', Racic U. 🟨,
  • 59', Schjelderup A. , Di Maria A. ,
  • 59', Akturkoglu K. , Bruma ,
  • 60', Florentino , Belotti A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Pavlidis V. , Di Maria A. (A),
  • 66', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 72', Zalazar R. , Vitor Carvalho ,
  • 72', Racic U. , Gorby ,
  • 73', Patrao A. , El Ouazzani A. ,
  • 73', Araujo T. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 76', Niakate S. , Robson Bambu ,
  • 87', Kokcu O. , Cabral A. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez V. , Ferreira J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Braga
17.6%
Draw
21.3%
Benfica
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 23.5% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 23.2% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Braga - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.34
    (4.13)
    4.42
    (4.03)
    1.56
    (1.76)
    5.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Braga - Benfica?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is Benfica will win! (18 of 22 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1.
    • In recent matches, Braga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Benfica is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Amdouni Z. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Benfica were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:0
    08.01.2025 Benfica - Braga 3:0
    04.01.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:2
    27.04.2024 Benfica - Braga 3:1
    10.01.2024 Benfica - Braga 3:2
    Latest results of Braga
    10.05.2025 Casa Pia - Braga 2:1
    03.05.2025 Braga - Santa Clara 1:1
    25.04.2025 Famalicão - Braga 1:1
    19.04.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:2
    13.04.2025 Braga - AVS 4:1
    Latest results of Benfica
    10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    03.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Benfica 1:2
    27.04.2025 Benfica - AVS 6:0
    23.04.2025 Benfica - Tirsense 4:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP34257288:276182
    2Benfica34255484:285680
    3FC Porto34225765:303571
    4Braga34199655:302566
    5Santa Clara341761136:32457
    6Vitoria Guimaraes341412847:371054
    7Famalicao3412111144:39547
    8Estoril3412101248:53-546
    9Casa Pia341291339:44-545
    10Moreirense3410101442:50-840
    11Rio Ave349111439:55-1638
    12Arouca349111435:49-1438
    13Gil Vicente348101634:47-1334
    14Nacional34971832:50-1834
    15Estrela34781924:50-2629
    16AFS345121725:60-3527
    17SC Farense34691925:46-2127
    18Boavista34662224:59-3524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Braga - Benfica?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
    bulgariaBulgariaRing
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
    hungaryHungarySport 2
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    worldWorldTriller TV+
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