Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.44
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
08
Passes
83% (394/476)70% (207/295)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.221.42
Total shots
519
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
1829
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
83% (394/476)70% (207/295)
Long passes
38% (20/53)33% (19/58)
Passes in final third
56% (67/119)55% (60/109)
Crosses
24% (5/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.80
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1713
Tackles
65% (11/17)52% (15/29)
Duels won
5668
Clearances
2828
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.420.22
Goals prevented
0.420.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Evanilson , Senesi M. (A),
  • 12', Semenyo A. 🟨,
  • 14', van de Ven M. 🟨,
  • 26', Smith A. , Hill J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Johnson B. , Odobert W. ,
  • 54', Palhinha J. , Bergvall L. ,
  • 63', Brooks D. , Adli A. ,
  • 64', Scott A. , Christie R. ,
  • 66', Spence D. 🟨,
  • 71', Porro P. , Udogie D. ,
  • 72', Petrovic D. 🟨,
  • 77', Sarr P. M. , Tel M. ,
  • 82', Evanilson , Kluivert J. ,
  • 82', Tavernier M. , Kroupi E. J. ,
  • 89', Adams T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Hill J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tottenham Hotspur
46.9%
Draw
25.7%
Bournemouth
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 24.7% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.1% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.87)
    3.8
    (3.85)
    3.55
    (3.9)
    2.1%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth?
  • Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (111 of 131 users predict this - 84.73%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.57%90.89%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tottenham Hotspur will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tottenham has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Bournemouth has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tottenham is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Tottenham: Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Gil B. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Solomon M. (Calf Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Red Card) Cook L. (Knee Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Injury) Udogie D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth 2:2
    05.12.2024 Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur 1:0
    31.12.2023 Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth 3:1
    26.08.2023 Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur 0:2
    15.04.2023 Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth 2:3
    Latest results of Tottenham Hotspur
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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