Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion
Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 4
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.62
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
79% (306/389)78% (283/365)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.18
Total shots
136
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
79% (306/389)78% (283/365)
Long passes
43% (23/54)45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
65% (87/134)61% (64/105)
Crosses
21% (4/19)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.31
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1610
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4754
Clearances
3634
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.181.38
Goals prevented
0.18-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Hinshelwood J. , Ayari Y. ,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Scott A. , Semenyo A. (A),
  • 24', De Cuyper M. , Kadioglu F. ,
  • 30', Dunk L. 🟨,
  • 31', Brooks D. 🟨,
  • 36', Senesi M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Adams T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Mitoma K. , Minteh Y. (A),
  • 58', Rutter G. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Semenyo A. (Pen),
  • 63', Milner J. 🟨,
  • 67', Welbeck D. , Gruda B. ,
  • 67', Rutter G. , Tzimas S. ,
  • 67', Milner J. , Baleba C. ,
  • 68', Brooks D. , Kluivert J. ,
  • 68', Scott A. , Adli A. ,
  • 74', Baleba C. 🟨,
  • 86', Tavernier M. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 87', Hill J. , Cook L. ,
  • 90+2', Evanilson , Soler J. ,
  • 90+6', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bournemouth
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 26.6% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 29.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brighton & Hove Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.45)
    3.55
    (3.62)
    3.65
    (2.82)
    -0.3%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 44.4%79.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.
    • Bournemouth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Knee Injury) Smith A. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth 2:1
    23.11.2024 Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2
    28.04.2024 Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:0
    24.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth 3:1
    04.04.2023 Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool550011:5615
    2Arsenal531110:2810
    3Tottenham531110:3710
    4Bournemouth53116:5110
    5Crystal Palace52306:249
    6Chelsea522110:558
    7Sunderland52216:428
    8Fulham52216:518
    9Manchester City52129:547
    10Everton52126:517
    11Manchester Utd52126:8-27
    12Leeds52124:7-37
    13Newcastle51313:306
    14Brighton51226:8-25
    15Nottingham51225:9-45
    16Burnley51135:8-34
    17Brentford51136:10-44
    18Aston Villa50321:5-43
    19West Ham51045:13-83
    20Wolves50053:12-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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