Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth).

: Premier League - Round 36
Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.29	0.99
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	0
Passes
87% (409/472)	69% (176/254)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.29	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	1.41
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	0
Touches in opposition box
28	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	19
Passes
87% (409/472)	69% (176/254)
Long passes
58% (23/40)	31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
79% (150/190)	45% (34/75)
Crosses
16% (5/32)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.56
Throw-ins
14	17
Fouls
19	12
Tackles
50% (8/16)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
46	48
Clearances
34	22
Interceptions
3	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.41	0.44
Goals prevented
0.41	0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Scott A. 🟨,
28', Asensio M. 🟨,
45+4', Smith A. 🟨,
45+5', Ramsey J. 🟨,
45+5', Martinez E. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Watkins O. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Scott A. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
70', Asensio M. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
70', Mings T. ↓, Torres P. ↑,
70', Smith A. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
76', Adams T. ↓, Senesi M. ↑,
78', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
80', Ramsey J. 🟨,
83', Huijsen D. 🟨,
88', Zabarnyi I. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
89', Kerkez M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
90', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
90+1', Konsa E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bournemouth
37%

Draw
26.9%

Aston Villa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bournemouth - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)	4% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bournemouth - Aston Villa?

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 17 - 39.5%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 19 - 44.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29.4% – 59%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

DNB - Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.
Bournemouth is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Groin Injury) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Aston Villa: Rashford M. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bournemouth: Ouattara Da. (Groin Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Aston Villa?

Bournemouth has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Bournemouth?

Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bournemouth - Aston Villa were as follows:

26.10.2024 Aston Villa - Bournemouth 1:1

21.04.2024 Aston Villa - Bournemouth 3:1

03.12.2023 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 2:2

18.03.2023 Aston Villa - Bournemouth 3:0

Latest results of Bournemouth

03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester United 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Bournemouth - Fulham 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 West Ham United - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

03.05.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 3:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Bournemouth - Aston Villa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Tubi TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus