Arsenal vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Arsenal - Bournemouth
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 35
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
Arsenal - Bournemouth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.06
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
85% (361/425)83% (341/411)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.15
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
167
Passes
85% (361/425)83% (341/411)
Long passes
38% (14/37)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
74% (87/118)65% (54/83)
Crosses
13% (1/8)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.73
Throw-ins
1413
Fouls
716
Tackles
75% (9/12)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4734
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.151.57
Goals prevented
-0.850.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Rice D. , Odegaard M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Evanilson 🟨,
  • 64', Ouattara Da. 🟨,
  • 65', Araujo J. , Scott A. ,
  • 65', Kluivert J. , Semenyo A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Huijsen D. , Semenyo A. (A),
  • 74', Rice D. , Merino M. ,
  • 74', Ouattara Da. , Brooks D. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Evanilson ,
  • 86', Martinelli G. , Sterling R. ,
  • 86', White B. , Zinchenko O. ,
  • 86', Saka B. , Nwaneri E. ,
  • 87', Evanilson , Jebbison D. ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
54.2%
Draw
24.8%
Bournemouth
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 25.4% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 24.7% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Arsenal - Bournemouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.92)
    3.9
    (3.78)
    4.59
    (3.94)
    2.8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal - Bournemouth?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 28 - 56%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 2 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 42.2%69.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Arsenal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Neto (Loan agreement) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Groin Injury) Evanilson (Red Card) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 2.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Bournemouth were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Bournemouth - Arsenal 2:0
    24.07.2024 Arsenal - Bournemouth 2:1
    04.05.2024 Arsenal - Bournemouth 3:0
    30.09.2023 Bournemouth - Arsenal 0:4
    04.03.2023 Arsenal - Bournemouth 3:2
    Latest results of Arsenal
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2
    20.04.2025 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 0:4
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2
    12.04.2025 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool38259486:414584
    2Arsenal382014469:343574
    3Manchester City38218972:442871
    4Chelsea38209964:432169
    5Newcastle382061268:472166
    6Aston Villa381991058:51766
    7Nottingham381981158:461265
    8Brighton381613966:59761
    9Bournemouth3815111258:461256
    10Brentford381681466:57956
    11Fulham381591454:54054
    12Crystal Palace3813141151:51053
    13Everton3811151242:44-248
    14West Ham3811101746:62-1643
    15Manchester Utd381191844:54-1042
    16Wolves381262054:69-1542
    17Tottenham381152264:65-138
    18Leicester38672533:80-4725
    19Ipswich384102436:82-4622
    20Southampton38263026:86-6012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Bournemouth?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, TNT
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
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    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
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    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
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    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
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    denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
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    irelandIrelandNOW
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    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoSuperSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoMAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport NOW
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
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    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
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    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaNBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
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