Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Hristo Botev Stadium (Vraca).

: Parva liga - Round 30
Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
5	2
Corner Kicks
2	0
Yellow Cards
6	3
Red Cards
0	1
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
3	0
Corner Kicks
2	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
17	11
Fouls
11	14
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Genov D. ⚽,
17', Bena Q. 🟨,
25', Perea B. 🟨,
28', Krachunov P. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Kovachev S. ⚽, Ivanov S. (A),
31', Tsonev B. 🟨,
43', Yusein S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Bena Q. ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
64', Gustavo Cascardo 🟥,
67', Yusein S. ↓, Velkovski D. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Perea B. ⚽, Ait Allal H. (A),
76', Yordanov T. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Genov D. ⚽,
78', Genov D. 🟨,
80', Evtimov D. 🟨,
81', Genov D. ↓, Smolenski M. ↑,
82', Smolenski M. 🟨,
87', Kabashi A. 🟨,
90+5', Traore B. ↓, Yovov K. ↑,
90+6', Kabashi A. ↓, Bachev M. S. ↑,
90+6', Suarez D. ↓, Georgiev D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Botev Vratsa
18.2%

Draw
25.3%

Arda Kardzhali
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botev Vratsa's form might have worsened.

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arda Kardzhali's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botev Vratsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (3.69)	3.69 ↑ (3.24)	1.65 ↓ (2.04)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali?

Users Predictions: Arda Kardzhali will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )).
Botev Vratsa is Parva liga (Relegation Group )
Arda is Qualified for Parva liga (Championship Group )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Botev Vratsa won 0.
Botev Vratsa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arda is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Botev Vratsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arda is a favorite.
There will not play in Botev Vratsa: Marinov M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Arda: Eboa F. (Inactive) Shinyashiki A. (Inactive)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Botev Vratsa won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:19 (average 0.8:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Botev Vratsa won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.7:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Botev Vratsa won against Arda Kardzhali?

Botev Vratsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Botev Vratsa?

Arda Kardzhali has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:

08.11.2024 Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 2:0

10.03.2024 Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali 1:2

15.09.2023 Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 4:0

09.10.2022 Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali 0:0

Latest results of Botev Vratsa

14.04.2025 Slavia Sofia - Botev Vratsa 4:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets Razgrad 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Botev Vratsa - CSKA Sofia 1:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Spartak Varna - Botev Vratsa 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Arda Kardzhali

13.04.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia 5:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 0:4 ✺

02.04.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna 4:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Beroe Stara Zagora - Arda Kardzhali 1:4 ✺

09.03.2025 Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali 1:1 ✺

Bulgarian Parva Liga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ludogorets	6	5	1	0	13:2	11	16
2	Levski Sofia	6	5	1	0	13:3	10	16
3	Lok. Plovdiv	7	4	3	0	8:4	4	15
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	7	4	1	2	9:7	2	13
5	Cherno More	7	3	3	1	11:5	6	12
6	Lok. Sofia	7	2	4	1	6:3	3	10
7	Botev Vratsa	7	2	4	1	6:4	2	10
8	Montana	7	2	2	3	5:11	-6	8
9	Beroe	6	1	3	2	7:11	-4	6
10	Septemvri Sofia	7	2	0	5	7:15	-8	6
11	Arda	6	1	3	2	8:6	2	6
12	Dobrudzha	7	2	0	5	6:10	-4	6
13	Slavia Sofia	7	1	2	4	8:13	-5	5
14	CSKA Sofia	6	0	4	2	4:6	-2	4
15	Spartak Varna	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4
16	Botev Plovdiv	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

      Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
      efbet League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 3