Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto).

: Serie B Superbet - Round 23
Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.11	0.26
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
72% (301/417)	53% (140/264)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.89	0.45
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
16	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
15	10
Passes
72% (301/417)	53% (140/264)
Long passes
32% (25/77)	18% (16/90)
Passes in final third
47% (49/105)	23% (21/93)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	0.13
Throw-ins
35	25
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
55% (6/11)	56% (5/9)
Duels won
62	46
Clearances
48	34
Interceptions
6	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.45	1.89
Goals prevented
0.45	-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Joao Vieira 🟨,
40', Leo Gamalho ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
42', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
46', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Marquinho (Pen),
60', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
67', Wallison 🟨,
68', Ralf 🟨,
69', Ralf ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
69', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
75', Weverton 🟥,
77', Willian Formiga 🟨,
79', Dodo ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
83', Marquinho ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
84', Wallison ↓, Jeferson ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Carrillo R. ⚽,
90+4', Dramisino A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Botafogo SP
32.6%

Draw
35.4%

Vila Nova
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

32.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Botafogo SP - Vila Nova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.63)	2.64 ↓ (2.96)	2.93 ↑ (2.77)	7.1% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Vila Nova?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
Botafogo SP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vila Nova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Botafogo SP: Edson (Yellow Cards) Ericson (Injury) Jeferson (Yellow Cards) Robinho (Inactive)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Injury) Guilherme Parede (Yellow Cards) Junior Todinho (Yellow Cards) Marcondes (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Edson (Injury) Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
There are questionable in Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Injury) Dodo (Injury) Walisson Maia (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Vila Nova?

Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Botafogo SP?

Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Vila Nova were as follows:

20.04.2025 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 2:0

28.09.2024 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 1:1

16.06.2024 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 1:0

11.10.2023 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 3:1

24.06.2023 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 0:3

Latest results of Botafogo SP

16.08.2025 Remo - Botafogo SP 1:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Botafogo SP - América Mineiro 2:1 ✺

28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Vila Nova

16.08.2025 Vila Nova - Goiás 2:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1 ✺

31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Vila Nova 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 2:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goias	28	14	7	7	34:26	8	49
2	Coritiba	27	13	8	6	28:17	11	47
3	Criciuma	27	13	7	7	34:21	13	46
4	Novorizontino	28	12	10	6	31:25	6	46
5	Athletico-PR	27	12	6	9	39:36	3	42
6	Chapecoense-SC	27	12	5	10	38:28	10	41
7	Cuiaba	27	11	8	8	32:30	2	41
8	Remo	27	9	12	6	28:24	4	39
9	Atletico GO	27	9	11	7	30:28	2	38
10	CRB	27	11	4	12	28:24	4	37
11	Avai	27	9	10	8	35:30	5	37
12	Vila Nova FC	27	10	6	11	26:28	-2	36
13	Operario-PR	27	9	9	9	29:26	3	36
14	Ferroviaria	28	7	12	9	31:35	-4	33
15	Athletic Club	27	9	5	13	29:35	-6	32
16	America MG	27	8	6	13	27:33	-6	30
17	Botafogo SP	27	7	8	12	22:39	-17	29
18	Amazonas	27	6	9	12	27:39	-12	27
19	Volta Redonda	27	6	9	12	16:28	-12	27
20	Paysandu PA	28	4	10	14	21:33	-12	22

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Botafogo SP - Vila Nova?

It is being streamed on channel


Brazil	Disney+