Coritiba vs Botafogo SP: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Botafogo SP
Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 30
Coritiba - Botafogo SP - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.830.11
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
253
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
92% (561/612)80% (281/351)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.830.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.07
Total shots
253
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
141
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
141
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
92% (561/612)80% (281/351)
Long passes
83% (44/53)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
86% (207/241)53% (28/53)
Crosses
39% (7/18)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.54
Throw-ins
1013
Fouls
1314
Tackles
69% (11/16)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5228
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.071.26
Goals prevented
0.07-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho , Iury Castilho (A),
  • 26', Bruno Melo 🟨,
  • 31', Matheus Barbosa 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Iury Castilho , Bruno Melo (A),
  • 43', Edson 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Matheus Barbosa , Alisson Cassiano ,
  • 46', Marquinho , Wesley Dias ,
  • 65', Bruno Melo , Alex Silva ,
  • 65', Wallisson , Filipe Machado ,
  • 65', Gabriel Bispo , Maciel L. ,
  • 65', Dramisino A. , Jonathan Cafu ,
  • 70', Gustavo Coutinho , Dellatorre ,
  • 70', Gomez S. , de Pena C. ,
  • 75', Jefferson Nem , Matheus Regis ,
  • 79', Iury Castilho , Everaldo ,
  • 85', Maciel L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
65.7%
Draw
23.4%
Botafogo SP
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.2% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 23.7% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Coritiba - Botafogo SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.51)
    3.99
    (3.9)
    8.57
    (7.07)
    6.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Coritiba - Botafogo SP?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Recent performances by Coritiba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Botafogo SP has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Coritiba is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Botafogo SP were as follows:
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    22.11.2024 Coritiba - Botafogo SP 1:3
    03.08.2024 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 2:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    25.09.2025 Coritiba - Criciúma 0:2
    12.09.2025 Coritiba - Goiás 0:0
    05.09.2025 Coritiba - Ferroviária 4:0
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba31168734:201456
    2Goias321410836:29752
    3Chapecoense-SC311551143:301350
    4Criciuma31148940:281250
    5Novorizontino311311733:27650
    6Athletico-PR311461144:41348
    7Remo311212736:29748
    8CRB311441336:31546
    9Cuiaba311210937:35246
    10Atletico GO311112835:30545
    11Avai3111101039:33643
    12Vila Nova FC3110101131:33-240
    13Operario-PR311091232:33-139
    14America MG311071433:37-437
    15Athletic Club321071537:44-737
    16Ferroviaria318121134:40-636
    17Botafogo SP31881526:46-2032
    18Amazonas317101433:47-1431
    19Volta Redonda317101419:34-1531
    20Paysandu PA315111526:37-1126

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Coritiba - Botafogo SP?
    It is being streamed on channel
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