Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - Athletic Club
Result
0:3
12/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
Botafogo SP - Athletic Club - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.46
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (409/490)68% (177/260)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.282.77
Total shots
911
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
168
Passes
83% (409/490)68% (177/260)
Long passes
51% (26/51)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
57% (71/124)51% (42/82)
Crosses
24% (10/42)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.93
Throw-ins
3515
Fouls
816
Tackles
71% (10/14)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1552
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.770.28
Goals prevented
-0.230.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Max , Yuri (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Ezequiel , Douglas Pele (A),
  • 30', Ezequiel , Martinez F. ,
  • 38', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 38', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 43', Alisson Cassiano , Ericson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rafael Milhorim , Carlao ,
  • 46', Matheus Regis , Carrillo R. ,
  • 46', Gabriel Ferreira , Alex Nascimento ,
  • 52', Max 🟨,
  • 63', Abdulai S. , Robinho ,
  • 68', Yuri , Marcelo Ajul ,
  • 69', Amorim , Alason Carioca ,
  • 70', Jefferson Luis 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Neto Costa (Pen),
  • 81', Jonathan Cafu , Pablo Thomaz ,
  • 83', Neto Costa , Lincoln ,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
43.6%
Draw
30.1%
Athletic Club
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 30.7% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The chances for Athletic Club have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Botafogo SP - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.1
    (3.03)
    3.57
    (3.53)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Botafogo SP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Jean Victor (Injury) Jeferson (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Wesley Dias (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alason Carioca (Injury) Edson Miranda (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Matheus Guilherme (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1282215:8726
    2Novorizontino1274117:71025
    3CRB1263313:9421
    4Coritiba1263310:6421
    5Cuiaba1263315:13221
    6Remo1255215:11420
    7Avai1154215:9619
    8Athletico-PR1252516:17-117
    9Chapecoense-SC1151514:10416
    10America MG1251613:14-116
    11Vila Nova FC125169:12-316
    12Criciuma1243514:12215
    13Ferroviaria1136211:10115
    14Atletico GO1236312:12015
    15Operario-PR1242614:16-214
    16Volta Redonda112455:9-410
    17Botafogo SP1224610:17-710
    18Amazonas122469:17-810
    19Athletic Club1230910:20-109
    20Paysandu PA121476:14-87

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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