Peñarol de Montevideo vs Botafogo RJ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ
Result
3:1
30/10/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.67
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
228
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
114
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1212
Corner Kicks
81
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
3321
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
1212
Red Cards
11
Yellow Cards
16
Total Passes
341314
Completed Passes
243216
Crosses Completed
113
Interceptions
1212

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Bastos 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Baez J. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
  • 45+4', Matheus Martins 🟨,
  • 45+5', Aguerre W. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia D. ↓, De Amores G. ↑,
  • 46', Matheus Martins ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 49', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 58', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
  • 58', Tche Tche ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
  • 60', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
  • 60', Silvera M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
  • 60', Sequeira L. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Baez J. ⚽, Lucas Hernandez (A),
  • 67', Bastos ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 69', Ponte M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ponte M. 🟨,
  • 71', Almada T. 🟨,
  • 73', Savarino J. ↓, Barboza A. ↑,
  • 76', Milans P. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
  • 86', Sosa I. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Almada T. ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
  • 89', 3 - 1, Batista F. ⚽, Perez R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
40.1%		Draw
29.7%		Botafogo RJ
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.9% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 30.7% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.36 ↓
    (2.44)    		 3.16 ↓
    (3.3)    		 3.13 ↑
    (2.99)    		 6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 8% – 64.8%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-5.
    • Recent matches Peñarol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Botafogo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Botafogo RJ - Peñarol de Montevideo 5:0
    Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
    23.10.2024 Botafogo RJ - Peñarol de Montevideo 5:0 ✺
    19.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 2:0 ✺
    16.10.2024 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1 ✺
    11.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 2:0 ✺
    06.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    26.10.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    23.10.2024 Botafogo RJ - Peñarol de Montevideo 5:0 ✺
    18.10.2024 Botafogo RJ - Criciúma 1:1 ✺
    05.10.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2024 Botafogo RJ - Grêmio 0:0 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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