Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras
Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 20
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.10
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
90% (548/608)84% (346/413)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.770.87
Total shots
159
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
66
Passes
90% (548/608)84% (346/413)
Long passes
62% (34/55)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
78% (127/163)49% (33/68)
Crosses
19% (3/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.43
Throw-ins
199
Fouls
76
Tackles
80% (16/20)63% (19/30)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.871.77
Goals prevented
-0.131.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Felipe Anderson , Vitor Roque (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Allan , Danilo ,
  • 59', Rodriguez S. , Savarino J. ,
  • 65', Murilo 🟨,
  • 66', Murilo , Bruno Fuchs ,
  • 66', Lopez J. , Luighi ,
  • 66', Vitor Roque , Mauricio ,
  • 66', Nathan Fernandes , Montoro A. ,
  • 71', Felipe Anderson , Allan ,
  • 74', Danilo 🟨,
  • 78', Barboza A. , Vitinho ,
  • 79', Ponte M. , Jeffinho ,
  • 83', Khellven , Giay A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
33.8%
Draw
32.2%
Palmeiras
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30.4% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 29.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.32)
    2.96
    (3.11)
    2.8
    (3.28)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
    • Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Palmeiras has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Ankle Injury) Kaio (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs (Hamstring Injury) Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Raphael Veiga (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: David Ricardo (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.03.2025 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    26.11.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    21.08.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    14.08.2024 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 2:1
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ20144244:93546
    2Palmeiras19133327:151242
    3Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    israelIsraelSport 1
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
    usaUsaFanatiz
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