Independiente Petroleros vs Botafogo RJ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:3
20/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
Independiente Petroleros - Botafogo RJ - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.236.43
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
441
Shots on target
019
Big chances
08
Corner kicks
15
Passes
70% (201/289)86% (509/592)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
0.236.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.005.94
Total shots
441
Shots on target
019
Shots off target
019
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
08
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
666
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1211
Passes
70% (201/289)86% (509/592)
Long passes
26% (12/47)75% (44/59)
Passes in final third
52% (16/31)75% (171/227)
Crosses
33% (1/3)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.432.43
Throw ins
1517
Fouls
1112
Tackles
57% (8/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3345
Clearances
285
Interceptions
1517
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
160
xGOT faced
5.940.00
Goals prevented
3.940.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Eduardo 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Medina C. ,
  • 29', Rodriguez F. , Leanos H. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Navarro D. , Mercado A. ,
  • 61', Arthur Cabral , Ramos C. ,
  • 62', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Caio Valle ,
  • 63', Willie , Adelan ,
  • 67', Montero R. 🟨,
  • 73', Cristaldo G. , Lutkowski R. ,
  • 73', Montero R. , Wagner Pinote ,
  • 73', Huguinho , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 77', Montoro A. , Barrera J. ,
  • 78', Kauan Toledo , Correa J. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Barrera J. , Correa J. (A),
  • 84', Lutkowski R. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 3, Gutierrez J. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Petroleros
6.5%
Draw
13.9%
Botafogo RJ
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.2% 19.6% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 19% 66.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.
  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo RJ's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Petroleros - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14.08
    (5.83)
    6.65
    (4.82)
    1.17
    (1.47)
    7.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Botafogo is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Petroleros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    28.04.2026 Botafogo RJ - Independiente Petroleros 3:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    17.05.2026 Botafogo RJ - Corinthians 3:1
    14.05.2026 Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    06.05.2026 Botafogo RJ - Racing 2:1
    02.05.2026 Botafogo RJ - Remo 1:2
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macara62406:3310
    2Tigre62318:539
    3America De Cali62316:519
    4Alianza Atl60242:9-72


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico-MG63128:6210
    2Cienciano62225:7-28
    3Juventud614110:737
    4Puerto Cabello62136:9-37


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo63306:1512
    2O'Higgins63128:6210
    3Millonarios62227:708
    4Boston River61055:12-73


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Recoleta61506:518
    2Santos61418:627
    3San Lorenzo61416:517
    4Dep. Cuenca61323:7-46


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ651015:51016
    2Caracas62319:909
    3Racing Club622211:928
    4Independiente60063:15-120


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City641111:5613
    2Gremio63218:3511
    3Dep. Riestra61234:10-65
    4Palestino60331:6-53


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion641110:6413
    2Vasco631210:6410
    3A. Italiano62137:9-27
    4Barracas Central60332:8-63


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate64209:3614
    2Bragantino631212:5710
    3Carabobo63036:519
    4Blooming60153:17-141

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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