Carabobo vs Botafogo RJ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Carabobo - Botafogo RJ
Result
1:2
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
Carabobo - Botafogo RJ - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.44
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
76% (241/316)84% (429/508)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.82
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
136
Passes
76% (241/316)84% (429/508)
Long passes
38% (22/58)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
58% (52/90)67% (99/147)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.47
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
613
Tackles
57% (4/7)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
133
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.821.56
Goals prevented
-0.180.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Vitinho ,
  • 35', Rwan Cruz 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', David Ricardo 🟨,
  • 67', Perez J. , Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ,
  • 69', Rwan Cruz , Artur ,
  • 69', Vitinho , Ponte M. ,
  • 74', Tortolero E. , Londono F. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Aponte L. ,
  • 80', Marlon Freitas , Allan ,
  • 80', Alex Telles , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 86', Nunez M. , Congo J. ,
  • 89', Jeffinho , Elias Manoel ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Cuiabano , Allan (A),
  • 90+5', Gonzalez G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carabobo
17.2%
Draw
27%
Botafogo RJ
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 23.4% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8% 23.6% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carabobo - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.56
    (6.35)
    3.5
    (4.04)
    1.69
    (1.53)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Carabobo - Botafogo RJ?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Carabobo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Botafogo is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Carabobo: Martinez L. (Knee Injury) Neira E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Matheus Martins (Inactive) Rodriguez S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carabobo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Carabobo 2:0
    Latest results of Carabobo
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile53118:5310
    2Estudiantes L.P53029:549
    3Botafogo RJ53027:529
    4Carabobo50142:11-91


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate ✔ 532012:6611
    2U. de Deportes52123:307
    3Ind. del Valle51226:10-45
    4Barcelona SC51133:5-24


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba53207:4311
    2Flamengo RJ52215:328
    3LDU Quito52215:418
    4Dep. Tachira50054:10-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 53208:3511
    2Libertad Asuncion ✔ 52214:318
    3Talleres Cordoba51134:6-24
    4Alianza Lima51135:9-44


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club ✔ 531113:31010
    2Fortaleza ✔ 52218:448
    3Bucaramanga ✔ 51316:9-36
    4Colo Colo50234:15-112


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 53027:529
    2Internacional522110:738
    3Bahia52124:5-17
    4Nacional51136:10-44


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras ✔ 550011:4715
    2Cerro Porteno52127:707
    3Sporting Cristal51136:10-44
    4Bolivar51048:11-33


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield ✔ 531111:4710
    2Penarol ✔ 53119:4510
    3SA Bulo Bulo ✔ 52035:11-66
    4Olimpia Asuncion50235:11-62

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Libertad Asuncion is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Racing Club is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fortaleza is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Penarol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    SA Bulo Bulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Carabobo - Botafogo RJ?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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