St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
Result
0:2
01/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.92
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
714
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
52
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2128
Touches in the Opposition Box
1329
Passes
79% (322/406)84% (463/548)
Passes in the final third
68% (75/111)69% (66/96)
Crosses
11% (2/19)0% (0/9)
Tackles
53% (8/15)62% (13/21)
Clearances Total
2040
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ,
  • 57', Saad E. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Adeyemi K. , Beier M. (A),
  • 73', Eggestein J. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 74', Bensebaini R. , Svensson D. ,
  • 74', Reyna G. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 79', Ceesay A. 🟨,
  • 82', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 83', Adeyemi K. , Gittens J. ,
  • 83', Ritzka L. , Saliakas M. ,
  • 83', Weisshaupt N. , Sinani D. ,
  • 89', Beier M. , Brandt J. ,
  • 89', Guirassy S. , Ozcan S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
22.3%
Draw
26%
Borussia Dortmund
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 26.7% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 27.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.3
    (3.62)
    3.68
    (3.6)
    1.85
    (2.05)
    4.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
    • St. Pauli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 33247295:326379
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 331911370:412968
    3Eintracht Frankfurt33169865:452057
    4Freiburg331671048:50-255
    5Dortmund331661168:511754
    6Mainz331491053:411251
    7RB Leipzig331312851:45651
    8Werder Bremen331391150:56-648
    9Stuttgart331381261:511047
    10B. Monchengladbach331361455:56-145
    11Augsburg3311101234:49-1543
    12Wolfsburg3310101355:54140
    13Union Berlin339101433:50-1737
    14St. Pauli33881728:39-1132
    15Hoffenheim337111546:64-1832
    16Heidenheim33852036:60-2429
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 33672049:77-2825
    18Bochum ✔ 33572131:67-3622

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
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