Lille vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Lille - Borussia Dortmund
Result
1:2
12/03/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
Lille - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.482.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1117
Shots on Goal
48
Shots off Goal
58
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
46
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
63
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
03
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1928
Touches in the Opposition Box
2721
Passes
78% (339/433)81% (354/439)
Passes in the final third
76% (109/144)68% (87/128)
Crosses
29% (4/14)35% (7/20)
Tackles
56% (10/18)59% (13/22)
Clearances Total
2130
Interceptions
712

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Ismaily (A),
  • 32', Anton W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', Gross P. 🟨,
  • 52', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Can E. (Pen),
  • 65', 1 - 2, Beier M. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
  • 67', Cabella R. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
  • 67', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
  • 72', Anton W. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
  • 74', Bouaddi A. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
  • 79', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
  • 83', Mukau N. 🟨,
  • 83', Haraldsson H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 83', Mukau N. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
  • 85', Beier M. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
  • 85', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 85', Gross P. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
  • 89', Bensebaini R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
34.7%		Draw
28.6%		Borussia Dortmund
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 27.5% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.2% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Lille - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.78 ↓
    (2.79)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.5)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.54)    		 4%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
    •
    What is the prediction for Lille - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 27 - 46.6%). Borussia D will win (votes: 12 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 33.8% – 59.4%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Borussia D have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Lille: Bakker M. (Muscle Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A. (Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Lotka M. (Shoulder Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Svensson D. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1
    Latest results of Lille
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 4:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Rennes - Lille 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    08.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg 0:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺
    19.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Borussia Dortmund?
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