Juventus vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Juventus - Borussia Dortmund
Result
4:4
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Juventus - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.68
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
88% (436/493)82% (386/471)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.772.27
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
813
Passes
88% (436/493)82% (386/471)
Long passes
59% (19/32)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
80% (97/122)64% (67/104)
Crosses
33% (6/18)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.35
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
138
Tackles
77% (10/13)73% (16/22)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.272.77
Goals prevented
-1.73-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Anton W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 4)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Adeyemi K. , Guirassy S. (A),
  • 58', David J. , Vlahovic D. ,
  • 59', McKennie W. , Joao Mario ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Yildiz K. , Joao Mario (A),
  • 65', 1 - 2, Nmecha F. , Adeyemi K. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 2, Vlahovic D. , Yildiz K. (A),
  • 69', Openda L. , Adzic V. ,
  • 69', Koopmeiners T. , Locatelli M. ,
  • 71', Beier M. , Brandt J. ,
  • 71', Nmecha F. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 74', 2 - 3, Couto Y. ,
  • 86', 2 - 4, Bensebaini R. (Pen),
  • 87', Yildiz K. , Zhegrova E. ,
  • 90+2', Guirassy S. , Gross P. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 4, Vlahovic D. , Kalulu P. (A),
  • 90+6', 4 - 4, Kelly L. , Vlahovic D. (A),

Chances of winning


Juventus
40%
Draw
30.2%
Borussia Dortmund
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.6% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.6% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus's form might have worsened.
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Juventus - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.05)
    3.5
    (3.6)
    3.44
    (3.62)
    -6.2%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Juventus - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 70 - 75.3%). Borussia D will win (votes: 10 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 14%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 66.5%84.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juventus will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Juventus is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Borussia D is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Juventus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Juventus: Milik A. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Can E. (Groin Injury) Drewes P. (Inactive) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Gross P. (Illness) Ozcan S. (Inactive) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventus: Conceicao F. (Muscle Injury) Miretti F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Juventus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventus - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Juventus 1:2
    Latest results of Juventus
    13.09.2025 Juventus - Inter Milan 4:3
    31.08.2025 Genoa - Juventus 0:1
    24.08.2025 Juventus - Parma 2:0
    16.08.2025 Atalanta - Juventus 1:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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