Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund
Result
0:2
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.392.70
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
69% (175/253)91% (713/785)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.392.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.154.47
Total shots
617
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
315
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
942
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
94
Passes
69% (175/253)91% (713/785)
Long passes
41% (26/64)65% (17/26)
Passes in final third
52% (32/61)85% (316/370)
Crosses
43% (3/7)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.394.73
Throw-ins
725
Fouls
59
Tackles
53% (8/15)90% (9/10)
Duels won
3736
Clearances
3311
Interceptions
207
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
4.470.15
Goals prevented
2.470.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', Paqarada L. , Fohrenbach J. ,
  • 22', Zivzivadze B. 🟥,
  • 27', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 39', Gimber B. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 0 - 2, Beier M. , Adeyemi K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gimber B. , Busch M. ,
  • 47', Beck A. , Conteh S. ,
  • 47', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 65', Adeyemi K. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 65', Gross P. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 70', Honsak M. , Kaufmann M. ,
  • 74', Ryerson J. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 74', Beier M. , Campbell C. ,
  • 81', Ibrahimovic A. , Siersleben T. ,
  • 90+3', Guirassy S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nmecha F. , Mane F. ,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
19%
Draw
21.7%
Borussia Dortmund
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.8% 22.4% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 21.4% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.01
    (4.85)
    4.36
    (4.28)
    1.62
    (1.66)
    4.8%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.6%99.36%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Heidenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Borussia D is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Borussia D is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Pieringer M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Brandt J. (Hand Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    13.09.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 4:2
    02.02.2024 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 0:0
    01.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 2:2
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    16.08.2025 Bahlinger - Heidenheim 0:5
    09.08.2025 Heidenheim - Parma 2:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440018:31512
    2Dortmund43109:3610
    3RB Leipzig43016:7-19
    4FC Koln42119:727
    5St. Pauli42117:617
    6Eintracht Frankfurt420211:926
    7Freiburg42028:806
    8Stuttgart42025:506
    9Hoffenheim42028:10-26
    10Union Berlin42028:11-36
    11Bayer Leverkusen41218:715
    12Wolfsburg41217:615
    13Mainz41125:414
    14Werder Bremen41128:10-24
    15Hamburger SV41122:8-64
    16Augsburg41037:10-33
    17B. Monchengladbach40221:6-52
    18Heidenheim40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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